Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
It makes sense to ask whether stocks can add to the double-digit gains they have delivered so far this year in the face of a steady increase in government bond yields. Rising yields lead to higher commercial borrowing costs and also reduce…
Gold set a record high in January, but uncertainty about US interest rates and disruption from the Iran war have led to an “elongated pause” in the rally, according to Tony Kim, global head of Metals Trading in Goldman Sachs FICC and…
Julius Baer analysts assess whether equities can withstand rising bond yields, concluding that despite a hawkish Fed and higher yields, resilient economic growth and strong earnings (S&P 500 median growth ~12%, European upgrade cycle) support equity markets.…
Charles Schwab's options market update highlights strong earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks, rising crude oil prices, and elevated Treasury yields. Notable options activity suggests bullish sentiment in Dell and Cheniere Energy, bearish positioning in…
Charles Schwab's analysis indicates that Treasury yields have been rising due to a hawkish Fed, persistent inflation, robust nominal growth, and fiscal concerns. The Treasury's buyback program is too small to reverse these forces. The firm expects yields to…
FX options markets signalled renewed dollar strength after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech, raising the probability of a September rate hike. However, dollar gains may be temporary if the Fed holds rates, and yen could recover if the BoJ hikes.
MUFG's Asia FX report warns that regional currencies face headwinds from rising US Treasury yields and higher oil prices, driven by a hawkish Fed repricing and geopolitical tensions. The report highlights increased odds of a September Fed rate hike, a surge…
MUFG notes the yen strengthened overnight as hawkish Bank of Japan comments, including from Governor Ueda, boosted expectations for a rate hike at the upcoming September meeting. However, the yen rally has been limited by surging energy prices due to…
UBS CIO expects elevated bond yield volatility near term, with 30-year and 10-year US Treasury yields ending 2025 at 5% and 4.5% respectively. However, shorter-dated government bond yields should decline, supporting a preference for short- to…
Saxo Bank's September 2026 report highlights a collision between rising commodity prices and higher interest rates. Energy and agricultural commodities are driving inflation up, while gold and silver face headwinds from tighter monetary conditions. Industrial…
The report covers Middle East energy and macro developments, highlighting oil price increases due to renewed US-Iran tensions, with Brent around USD91/b and WTI above USD86/b. Gold holds near USD4,445/oz amid safe-haven demand but faces headwinds from…
Wellington Management's September 2026 report argues that the forces pushing US long-term yields higher are structural, driven by persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury issuance, shifting global capital flows, and leveraged positioning. The report views…
Saxo Bank reports renewed US-Iran hostilities lifting crude above $91, while global bond yields spike with the US 10-year topping 4.75% for the first time in 19 months. Equities decline amid inflation concerns, crypto equities rebound, and gold steadies after…
ING highlights divergent dynamics across the yield curve: while front-end rates remain anchored by hawkish central bank pricing, long-end yields face upward pressure from fiscal deficits, supply concerns, and tech-driven growth expectations, with US…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…
Invesco's market outlook for late August 2026 focuses on the resilience of the bull market despite concerns over Federal Reserve policy, AI spending, and government debt. The firm highlights strong earnings, broader market participation, and flat oil as…
Invesco's Global Head of Research, Benjamin Jones, analyzes the Federal Reserve's stance after Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, expecting the Fed to remain on hold for the rest of the year. He anticipates reduced forward guidance to widen outcome…
BNP Paribas warns that central bank independence is facing its most severe stress test in a century, driven by high sovereign debt, supply-shock inflation, and political attacks. The erosion of credibility could unanchor inflation expectations, raise risk…
PIMCO assesses that most U.S. investment grade and high yield corporate issuers can manage higher refinancing costs due to healthy interest coverage ratios, but CCC-rated issuers face acute pressure as their maturing debt coupons could double if refinanced at…
UBS CIO notes that while the US-Venezuela oil agreement is strategically significant, it is unlikely to materially affect oil markets in the near term due to Hormuz disruption, slow Venezuelan output gains, and uncertain legal durability. They maintain a…