Reports are admitted only from public, source-verifiable pages. How Tlines structures a report, grouped by asset, publishing institution or topic below.
Wellington Management analyzes the impact of the AI capex cycle on credit markets, highlighting rising dispersion across sectors and issuers, increasing credit supply from data center debt issuance, and the growing importance of underwriting, structuring, and…
Natixis expects the August US Employment Situation Report to show nonfarm payroll gains of only 25k, below the consensus of 55k, with the unemployment rate rising slightly to 4.2% due to higher prime-age labor force participation. The report indicates…
Natixis reports that Hong Kong's re-export trade is being rewired: it plays a smaller role in distributing Chinese-made goods but a larger role in sourcing foreign goods for China and intermediating trade between overseas markets. This shift is driven by tech…
Equities are flat early amid rising Treasury yields and oil prices, with investors weighing strong earnings from Dell and Palo Alto Networks while monitoring geopolitical tensions. The 10-year yield's highest close since late 2023 and crude's jump near $90…
FX options markets signalled renewed dollar strength after Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish speech, raising the probability of a September rate hike. However, dollar gains may be temporary if the Fed holds rates, and yen could recover if the BoJ hikes.
MUFG's Asia FX report warns that regional currencies face headwinds from rising US Treasury yields and higher oil prices, driven by a hawkish Fed repricing and geopolitical tensions. The report highlights increased odds of a September Fed rate hike, a surge…
MUFG notes the yen strengthened overnight as hawkish Bank of Japan comments, including from Governor Ueda, boosted expectations for a rate hike at the upcoming September meeting. However, the yen rally has been limited by surging energy prices due to…
Fixed Income Commentary September 2, 2026 Debt Research Bonds/Rates 【 Fixed Income Commentary 】 Overview of FY27 budget requests, implications for JGB issuance plan (original Japanese report issued on September 1, 2026) Key points ■ General account requests…
The report covers Middle East energy and macro developments, highlighting oil price increases due to renewed US-Iran tensions, with Brent around USD91/b and WTI above USD86/b. Gold holds near USD4,445/oz amid safe-haven demand but faces headwinds from…
Natixis analyzes the proposals from French far-left parties to cancel or restructure France's public debt held by the Eurosystem/Bank of France. The report argues that such proposals are legally, institutionally, and financially problematic, likely to…
Wellington Management's September 2026 report argues that the forces pushing US long-term yields higher are structural, driven by persistent fiscal deficits, heavy Treasury issuance, shifting global capital flows, and leveraged positioning. The report views…
Saxo Bank reports renewed US-Iran hostilities lifting crude above $91, while global bond yields spike with the US 10-year topping 4.75% for the first time in 19 months. Equities decline amid inflation concerns, crypto equities rebound, and gold steadies after…
OCBC's Daily Treasury Outlook covers market reactions to renewed US-Iran hostilities, which lifted oil prices and weighed on US equities, while global data showed India's strong GDP growth, China's PMI improving but still in contraction, and Japan's retail…
Follow our podcasts by searching ‘ OCBC Research Insights ’ on Telegram! 1 By Global Markets | 1 September 2026 Research Monitor (September) Key Themes 1. “Time and tide waits for no man” according to Chaucer. August was again characterised by a…
OCBC Research notes a hawkish rate repricing causing bear flattening in credit markets, favoring quality high-yield (HY) over duration-heavy investment-grade (IG) bonds. Carry is preferred over spread compression due to tight valuations. Banks benefit from…
MUFG has revised its USD/PHP forecasts slightly higher, expecting the pair to trade around 62.00 in 2H 2026 before declining to 61.00 by 1H 2027. The revision reflects USD/PHP breaking above 62.00, elevated oil prices, and sticky US yields. However, MUFG…
MUFG's FX Daily Snapshot discusses the muted US dollar gains following Fed Chair Warsh's hawkish Jackson Hole speech, as rising energy prices and upcoming central bank meetings across G10 curtail dollar buying. The report highlights a close call for Fed rate…
MUFG's Asia FX commentary highlights mixed risk sentiment as markets digest Fed policy signals and Middle East tensions, with a notable view that Indian rates are likely to rise given robust GDP growth and other factors. The report also notes USD/JPY near…
Fixed Income Commentary September 1, 2026 Debt Research Bonds/Rates 【 Fixed Income Commentary 】 Quick comment: 10-year JGB yield hits 3% (original Japanese report issued on September 1, 2026) Key points ■ 10-year JGB yield touches key psychological threshold…
GLOBAL ECONOMICS Visit our website at scotiabank.com/economics | Follow us on Twitter at @ScotiaEconomics | Contact us by email at scotia.economics@scotiabank.com SCOTIABANK FORECAST September 9, 2026 Contributors Olivier Gervais Director, Modelling and…