加拿大人口：调整 · 全球经济

关键论点

• 两项新方法调整——CBSA出入境数据及正在审理的许可延期申请人——使2021年三季度至2025年三季度的非永久居民历史数据下修，而2025年四季度以来的近期数据大幅上修。
• 过去两年总人口调整中约70%至80%归因于工作许可持有人的调整。
• 1月至7月永久居民准入略超222,000人，约占年度目标的59%，其中经济类准入占比低于计划的63%。
• 国际学生抵达仅完成155,000上限的18.2%；在2027年底前非永久居民占比降至5%的目标仍有效的情况下，新移民水平计划可能更侧重劳动力市场校准而非教条式限制。

对应原文证据

1. • As a result, significant revisions have taken place, with the historical (Q3 -2021 to Q3 - 2025) non -permanent resident (NPR) population data adjusted lower than previously estimated, while more recent readings (Q4 -25 onward) have seen total numbers revised substantially higher. · 2021
2. Given Canada ’s reliance on immigration for population growth, total quarterly population estimates saw a similar pattern occur, with recent upward revisions erasing the trend of consistent quarterly population contractions (though a single, minor contraction was still recorded over the final months of 2025). · 2025
3. • Therefore, lagged quarterly official national estimates now stand at 41,798,407, an increase of 80,343 (0.2% q/q) vs the previous quarter (which, in turn, was revised to 41,718,064, approximately 0.7% greater than what was initially reported in June).