每日国债展望 (2026年10月13日)

关键论点

• 胡塞武装袭击沙特（含利雅得机场），霍尔木兹海峡附近油轮袭击持续，供应风险重燃推高油价。
• 克利夫兰联储主席Hammack主张较快转向限制性立场，认为较早、幅度较小的调整优于日后更大规模加息。
• 中国CXMT在更密集DRAM设计上取得进展并计划年底前推出新款服务器内存产品，加剧对成熟存储芯片厂商的竞争担忧，拖累存储股。
• 印度9月CPI压力扩散：整体同比5.5%、食品7.7%、交通5.0%、核心4.6%，受蔬菜涨价与季风偏弱影响。

对应原文证据

1. Cleveland Fed President Hammack delivered a hawkish speech yesterday, arguing that the Federal Reserve should move relatively quickly towards a restrictive monetary policy stance, with smaller and earlier adjustments being preferable to waiting and potentially requiring larger hikes later.
2. In Europe, Germany will release its final September CPI figures, while ECB officials Elderson and Lane, along with the B oE’s Dhingra, are scheduled to speak.
3. In the energy sector, Vena Energy outlined plans to invest PHP52bn over the next two years in renewable energy projects, targeting up to 1.29 gigawatts of additional power generation capacity in line with the government’s renewable energy targets of 35% by 2030 and 50% by 2040. · 2030