8月反弹后，9月工资增长放缓

关键论点

• 年工资增速维持在3.3%，季度增速维持在0.8%，月度年化增速由3.5%放缓至3.3%。
• 公平工作委员会4.75%的裁定工资及最低工资上调仅带来8月的短暂跳升，影响小于联邦银行此前的预测。
• 包括中东冲突带来的实际和预期通胀上升，尚未传导至更广泛的工资设定，缓解了澳洲联储对纯工资通胀的担忧。
• 联邦银行维持2026年第三季度工资价格指数上涨0.9%的预测，并估计9月趋势就业增加约2万人，但劳动力供给快于需求，失业率正在走高。

对应原文证据

1. • Annual wage growth held steady at 3.3%, while quarterly growth remained at 0.8%.
2. Despite the drop off in monthly growth, annual wage growth held firm at 3.3%, while quarterly wage growth also remained unchanged at 0.8% over the three months to September.
3. CommBank Economist Harry Ottley said while the lack of movement in the data may seem unremarkable, it meant there’s a clear takeaway for the RBA’s inflation fight.