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US Rates StrategyIs r* rising?

中文标题

美国利率策略 · r*是否正在上升?

Citable research brief

Publisher evidence excerpt

US Rates Strategy Joseph Abate September 9, 2026 joseph.abate@smbcnikko-si.com 1 212 893-1592 Is r* rising? Rising Federal debt and AI might push the economy’s long -run neutral rate, r*, higher after it has declined for 50y. Current r* estimates are between 1.00-1.50%…

Institution
SMBC
Published
09/09/2026
Research topic
Not explicitly stated
Time horizon
Not explicitly stated

Key numbers

No source-backed key figure was extracted.

Main risks

Not explicitly stated in the extracted material.

Corresponding source evidence

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Context: the quoted core view and evidence are publisher wording selected by deterministic rules. Other fields are Tlines structures; verify them at the source.

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How this page was produced

Tlines extracted the conclusion, arguments, numbers and risks above from the report published by SMBC on 09/09/2026, then structured them for comparison. The publisher's own wording is reachable through the source link on this page and is displayed in full above. Last updated 10/17/2026. Methodology · Source policy · AI usage · Request a correction