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Canadian Home Sales — August 2026GLOBAL ECONOMICS

中文标题

加拿大房屋销售 — 2026年8月 · 全球经济

Multiple economies
Citable research brief

Core conclusion · Tlines extraction

Canadian home sales fell 0.7% (sa) in August, erasing most of the prior two months' gains, while new listings rose 3.3%. The sales-to-new listings ratio eased to 49.1% from 51.1%, months of inventory held at 4.8, and the MLS HPI was flat for a third month. National sales were 6.9% (nsa) below August 2025, with declines in nearly 90% of tracked markets.

Institution
Scotiabank Economics
Published
09/15/2026
Research topic
Inflation
Time horizon
2022 · December 2024 · August 2025 · 2026 · long-term

Key arguments

  • August's sales dip erases most of the prior two months' gains, raising the question of whether the expected recovery is merely paused.
  • With new listings rising 3.3% (sa) and sales falling 0.7%, the market eased into the lower half of balanced conditions.
  • National sales have hovered at a constant pace since spring 2022 and were slightly below that pace in August.
  • Months of inventory stayed at 4.8, below the pre-pandemic average of 5.2 but up 0.4 from a year ago, suggesting cooling.

Key numbers

National sales m/m (sa)
-0.7%
New listings m/m (sa)
+3.3%
Sales-to-new listings ratio (sa)
49.1% (from 51.1%)
National sales y/y (nsa)
-6.9%
Months of inventory (sa)
4.8

Main risks

  • Mortgage rates have likely bottomed, which supports buying but adds uncertainty about future financing costs and employment/income conditions.
  • Market conditions have cooled over the past year, with months of inventory up 0.4 since August 2025 and national sales below their post-2022 pace.
  • Nearly 90% of tracked markets posted annual sales declines, led by Ottawa (-19.3%), Okanagan-Mainline (-19.1%) and Peterborough (-17.1%).

Corresponding source evidence

  1. National sales have been hovering over a constant pace since Spring of 2022 —when the Bank of Canada started its policy tightening cycle to reduce elevated inflation at the time—and they were slightly below this average pace in August. · 2022
  2. With sales declining and new listings increasing, the national sales -to-new listings ratio eased from 51.1% (sa) in July to 49.1% in August, still in the lower half of the balanced national conditions range where it has been hovering since December 2024. · December 2024
  3. In August, months of inventory stayed unchanged nationally from their July level at 4.8 but increased by 0.4 (sa) since August 2025, suggesting market conditions have cooled over this period. · August 2025

Context: the conclusion is Tlines' automated extraction, not the institution's wording. Quoted evidence is publisher wording. Scope and date must travel with the conclusion.

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AI analysis

AI-generated from the report above · not a translation and not the institution's wording · verify against the official source

Cross-institution comparison · CPI

How this page was produced

Tlines extracted the conclusion, arguments, numbers and risks above from the report published by Scotiabank Economics on 09/15/2026, then structured them for comparison. The publisher's own wording is reachable through the source link on this page and is displayed in full above. Last updated 10/17/2026. Methodology · Source policy · AI usage · Request a correction