<hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>1. Growth predictions: </strong>We forecast a $5.5 trillion base case for tokenized assets by 2030, rising to $8 trillion in a bull case. Public market securities and liquid collateral, particularly U.S. equities and treasuries, are likely to drive early adoption and expand distribution to digitally native investors.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>2. Liquid assets on-chain: </strong>Modern, digitally native investors increasingly expect 24x7 access to financial assets. Equities, bonds and commodities could move on-chain as younger retail investors drive adoption. If 10% of U.S. retail investors use on-chain solutions by 2030, this could create about $2.6 trillion of demand for tokenized public equities.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>3. Institutional catalysts:</strong> Major market infrastructure providers, including DTCC, NYSE, and Nasdaq, are beginning to integrate tokenization into their core platforms. As pilot programs transition into production, supported by evolving regulation, adoption among traditional financial institutions could accelerate.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>4. Digital money is the foundational enabler: </strong>Tokenization of financial assets is the companion to tokenized cash. Regulated stablecoins and tokenized deposits can help engender trust in on-chain settlement for Delivery-versus-Payment (DvP), improving capital efficiency and reducing settlement risk.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>5. “Structural orchestrators” emerge:</strong> Tokenization could create new revenue pools through programmability, composability and vertically integrated business models. Institutions may look to control issuance, distribution and settlement rails (e.g., select banks, asset managers, stablecoin issuers) in order to capture value.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>6. Evolution, not revolution – hybrid models set to dominate:</strong> The transition will be gradual. We expect a “messy” period where tokenized and legacy systems operate side by side. Hybrid models and interoperability between on-chain and off-chain worlds are critical to scaling.</span></p>
How Banks Can Win in Today's Cross-Border Payments Market
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银行如何在当今跨境支付市场中取胜
Core conclusion · Tlines extraction
Citi forecasts tokenized assets reaching a $5.5 trillion base case by 2030, with an $8 trillion bull case, driven first by tokenized U.S. equities and treasuries. If 10% of U.S. retail investors adopt on-chain solutions by 2030, roughly $2.6 trillion of demand for tokenized public equities could emerge. Institutional integration by DTCC, NYSE and Nasdaq plus regulated stablecoins and tokenized deposits would enable on-chain DvP settlement. The transition is expected to be gradual, with hybrid on-chain and legacy systems operating side by side and 'structural orchestrators' capturing new revenue pools.
- Institution
- Citi
- Published
- 09/23/2026
- Research topic
- US 10Y Treasury
- Time horizon
- 2030
Key arguments
- Tokenized assets could reach $5.5 trillion by 2030 in a base case and $8 trillion in a bull case.
- Public market securities, especially U.S. equities and treasuries, are likely to drive early adoption.
- If 10% of U.S. retail investors use on-chain solutions by 2030, about $2.6 trillion of demand for tokenized public equities could be created.
- Regulated stablecoins and tokenized deposits are the foundational enabler for trusted on-chain DvP settlement and improved capital efficiency.
Key numbers
- Tokenized assets base case by 2030
- $5.5 trillion
- Tokenized assets bull case by 2030
- $8 trillion
- U.S. retail on-chain adoption scenario by 2030
- 10% of U.S. retail investors
- Demand for tokenized public equities in that scenario
- about $2.6 trillion
Main risks
- The transition is expected to be gradual, with a 'messy' period in which tokenized and legacy systems operate side by side.
- Scaling depends on hybrid models and interoperability between on-chain and off-chain worlds, which may prove difficult.
- Institutional adoption acceleration is contingent on pilot programs transitioning into production and on evolving regulation.
Corresponding source evidence
Growth predictions: </strong>We forecast a $5.5 trillion base case for tokenized assets by 2030, rising to $8 trillion in a bull case.
· 2030Public market securities and liquid collateral, particularly U.S. equities and treasuries, are likely to drive early adoption and expand distribution to digitally native investors.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>2. Liquid assets on-chain: </strong>Modern, digitally native investors increasingly expect 24x7 access to financial assets.
If 10% of U.S. retail investors use on-chain solutions by 2030, this could create about $2.6 trillion of demand for tokenized public equities.</span></p><hr><p><span style="font-size:18px;"><strong>3.
· 2030
Context: the conclusion is Tlines' automated extraction, not the institution's wording. Quoted evidence is publisher wording. Scope and date must travel with the conclusion.
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Tlines extracted the conclusion, arguments, numbers and risks above from the report published by Citi on 09/23/2026, then structured them for comparison. The publisher's own wording is reachable through the source link on this page. Last updated 10/17/2026. Methodology · Source policy · AI usage · Request a correction