外汇交易员：美元在美国CPI公布前走高

关键论点

• 美元在大幅上涨后仅小幅整理，表明在出现明确反转证据前上升趋势依然有效。
• 美元兑日元升破约158.50的200日均线，日线与周线一目均衡指标倾向确认由干预驱动的下行走势全面逆转。
• 欧元区主权收益率利差——德法10年期利差达141个基点——令欧元在欧元兑美元及欧洲交叉盘中持续承压。
• 油价与天然气价格进一步上涨将加重欧洲增长与主权债务风险，同时强化美元强势。

对应原文证据

1. Summary: The USD rally saw a shallow consolidation last week and looks ready for more until proven otherwise, with the CPI release mid-week the next important event risk.
2. The US dollar has done little over the past week, but a tight consolidation after its steep rally suggests the up-trend remains very much in place until proven otherwise.
3. One key factor pressurizing the backdrop for both the US dollar higher and the euro lower is another surge in oil prices today to new local highs.