加拿大房地产市场缓慢但确定地正在好转

关键论点

• 7月房屋转售环比上升0.5%，连续第四个月增长。
• 全国MLS房价指数连续第二个月上涨，表明周期性底部已现。
• 库存企稳和新挂牌减少有助于支撑价格，缓解恐慌性抛售担忧。
• 尽管近期上涨，活动量仍比10年平均水平低12%，显示复苏缓慢。
• 预计安大略省引领复苏，而其他地区面临负担能力和地缘政治挑战。

对应原文证据

1. It also increasingly appears that home values have already hit their cyclical bottom. The national aggregate MLS Home Price Index increased for a second time month-over-month. · medium-term
2. Still, any pick-up in momentum is poised to be gradual with interest rates no longer declining, stalled population growth and lingering economic uncertainty. · medium-term
3. At 457,500 units (seasonally adjusted and annualized), July’s transactions were a hefty 12% below the 10-year average. · short-term