华侨银行每日国债展望（12月2026日）

关键论点

• 美国股市周二因CPI数据公布前谨慎情绪和霍尔木兹海峡僵局而下跌。
• NFIB调查显示劳动力市场紧张但无新增通胀压力，降低了美联储立即收紧政策的紧迫性。
• 澳洲联储维持利率在4.35%但保持鹰派倾向，除非通胀意外上行，否则收紧周期可能已结束。
• 中国7月汽车销售大幅下滑，但新能源车渗透率创纪录达65.1%，出口激增。
• 市场关注美国7月CPI报告以获取下一次政策信号。

对应原文证据

1. US stocks fell for a second consecutive session on Tuesday, as pre-CPI caution and a persistent Strait of Hormuz impasse weighed on sentiment, with the S&P 500 declining 0.3%, the Nasdaq shedding 0.6%, and the Dow losing 0.3%. · short-term
2. The absence of labour-driven inflation reduces the urgency for the FOMC to tighten immediately, although inflation remains the more important policy consideration at this stage. · medium-term
3. NEV retail sales proved relatively resilient, declining by just 3.9% YoY to 951,000 units and lifting the NEV penetration rate to a record 65.1%. In contrast, conventional ICE vehicle sales plunged 41% YoY to 510,000 units, highlighting the accelerating structural shift towards electrification. · medium-term