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嘉信理财 · Will Daniel · 2026/08/28

空头持仓监测:EAT、MNDY、CIFR

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空头持仓监测:EAT、MNDY、CIFR

最新一期的空头持仓监测以制药公司和企软件公司为主,但也包含了其他各种业务的多元化组合。

Brinker International(EAT)是 Chili's 和 Maggiano's Little Italy 连锁餐厅的所有者,是一个典型例子。EAT 股价今年以来上涨约 60%,部分原因是同店销售额强劲增长以及华尔街看涨的股票评级。然而,在估值担忧、食品和劳动力成本持续上涨以及内部人士卖出的背景下,空头在8月初仍以该公司为目标。EAT 在8月 12, 发布的第四财季报告中盈利相对强劲,超出了分析师的营收预期,并提供了乐观的前瞻指引。但业绩主要由 Chili's 的强劲表现推动,而 Maggiano's 则报告客流量下滑和销售额下降。由于其当前市盈率比五年平均值高出约 40%,投资者期望 Chili's 的持续增长动能能抵消 Maggiano's 的问题。

企业软件公司 monday.com(MNDY)也在本月早些时候成为空头的目标。MNDY 在7月下旬宣布计划裁减 20% 的员工,作为其转型为“AI 工作平台”的一部分。在8月 10, 发布的第二季度财报中,该公司超出了市场预期的每股收益和营收,其 AI 相关年度经常性收入环比翻倍。然而,整体营收增长放缓,前瞻指引表明未来将进一步放缓。估值担忧也可能吸引空头。MNDY 的市值约为其过去 12 个月盈利的 40 倍。

Cipher Digital(CIFR)的空头持仓在8月前两周也激增。这家由比特币矿工转型为数据中心基础设施的公司,在8月 4 发布的第二季度财报中,未达到市场预期的每股收益和营收。CIFR 当季净亏损近 $268 百万美元,远超预期,而营收降至仅 $24.8 百万美元。尽管 CIFR 预计将在未来一年内完成多个大型数据中心建设——这一里程碑应会提振未来盈利——但估值担忧和执行风险可能吸引空头。

下表显示了完整的空头持仓监测,其中包括了 10 只空头持仓较高且上升的股票。每只股票市值至少 $2 亿美元,空头持仓占流通股的比例至少 10%。

空头持仓占流通股比例

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本材料仅供一般信息和教育用途。这不应被视为个性化推荐或个性化投资建议。所提及的证券、投资产品和投资策略并非适合所有人。每位投资者在做出任何投资或交易决策之前,都需要根据自己的具体情况审视投资策略。

所有观点表达如有变更,恕不另行通知,以应对市场状况变化。此处来自第三方提供商的数据来源于据信可靠的来源。但是,无法保证其准确性、完整性或可靠性。

仅供说明之用。个人情况会有所不同。并非意在反映您可以期望达到的结果。

投资涉及风险,包括对于某些产品,可能损失超过初始投资。

过往表现不代表未来结果。

卖空是一种高级交易策略,涉及潜在无限风险,并且必须在保证金账户中进行。无法保证经纪公司能够在一段时间内继续维持空头头寸。您的头寸可能会被公司强制平仓,而不考虑您的盈亏。

投资REITs可能带来额外风险,例如房地产行业风险、利率风险和流动性风险。

完整英文原文

The latest edition of the Short Interest Monitor is dominated by pharmaceutical companies and enterprise software firms but also features a diverse mix of other businesses.

Brinker International (EAT), the owner of restaurant chains Chili's and Maggiano's Little Italy, is a prime example. EAT shares have soared roughly 60% year to date due in part to strong comparable-store sales growth and bullish Wall Street stock ratings. However, short sellers still targeted the company in early August amid valuation concerns, persistent increases in food and labor costs, and insider selling. EAT had relatively strong earnings in its fiscal fourth-quarter report on August 12, topping analysts' revenue forecasts and providing upbeat forward guidance. But the results were driven by strength at Chili's, while Maggiano's reported a traffic slump and declining sales. With its current price-to-earnings ratio sitting roughly 40% above the five-year average, investors are counting on continued momentum at Chili's to offset Maggiano's issues.

The enterprise software company monday.com (MNDY) was also in short sellers' crosshairs earlier this month. MNDY announced plans to cut 20% of its workforce in late July amid its transition into an "AI work platform." The company beat consensus earnings and revenue estimates in its second-quarter earnings report on August 10, as its AI-related annual recurring revenue doubled sequentially. However, overall revenue growth decelerated, and forward guidance pointed to a further slowdown ahead. Valuation concerns may also be attracting short sellers. MNDY trades at roughly 40 times its trailing 12-month earnings.

Cipher Digital (CIFR) saw its short interest surge in the first two weeks of August as well. The bitcoin miner turned data center infrastructure firm missed consensus earnings and revenue forecasts in its second-quarter earnings report on August 4. CIFR posted a wider-than-expected net loss of nearly $268 million in the quarter, while revenue fell to just $24.8 million. Although CIFR expects to complete construction on multiple major data centers over the next year—a milestone that should bolster future earnings—valuation concerns and execution risk may be drawing in short sellers.

The table below shows the complete Short Interest Monitor, which features 10 equities with elevated and rising short interest. Each stock has a market cap of at least $2 billion and short interest that represents at least 10% of its outstanding shares.

Short interest as a % of shares outstanding

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This material is intended for general informational and educational purposes only. This should not be considered an individualized recommendation or personalized investment advice. The securities, investment products and investment strategies mentioned are not suitable for everyone. Each investor needs to review an investment strategy for their own particular situation before making any investment or trading decisions.

All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice in reaction to shifting market conditions. Data contained herein from third party providers is obtained from what are considered reliable sources. However, its accuracy, completeness or reliability cannot be guaranteed.

For illustrative purposes only. Individual situations will vary. Not intended to be reflective of results you can expect to achieve.

Investing involves risk, including, for some products, more than your initial investment.

Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

Short selling is an advanced trading strategy involving potentially unlimited risks, and must be done in a margin account. There is no guarantee the brokerage firm can continue to maintain a short position for any period of time. Your position may be closed out by the firm without regard to your profit or loss.

Investing in REITs may pose additional risks such as real estate industry risk, interest rate risk and liquidity risk.

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AI 分析
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关键论点
  • EAT股价年内上涨60%,归因于Chili's强劲表现,但估值、成本压力和内部人抛售吸引空头。
  • MNDY的人工智能转型前景可期,但整体增长放缓;估值约为过去12个月收益的40倍,可能吸引空头。
  • CIFR未达盈利预期且面临执行风险,但数据中心建设可能提振未来业绩。
风险
  • 若出现利好消息,高空头持仓可能导致轧空行情。
  • 相关公司可能继续面临成本压力和估值担忧。
  • 增长战略的执行可能不及预期。