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什么是生产力,为什么需要提高生产力?

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什么是生产力,为什么需要提高生产力?

要点

生产力衡量的是我们利用所投入的资源创造出的价值。

澳大利亚的生产力增长有所放缓,但现代服务经济中的部分领域难以衡量。

商业投资、技术、技能和更高效的工作方式有助于提高生产力和生活水平。

政治家、经济学家和商业领袖经常表示,如果要提高生活水平,澳大利亚就需要提高生产力。

“长期维持和提高生活水平的最佳途径是提高我们经济的生产力,”财长吉姆·查默斯最近表示。

“提高生活水平是最终目标,而提高生产力正是实现这一目标的途径。”

那么,为什么生产力对我们的生活水平如此重要?让我们先来看看它的含义。

什么是生产力?

从最简单的角度讲,生产力是衡量我们用现有资源能生产多少的指标。

在经济术语中,最常被讨论的衡量指标是劳动生产率,它考察的是每一小时工作所产生的经济产出量。

例如,如果一家工厂在之前生产110件产品所需的时间内能生产100,件产品,那么生产力就提高了。

使用软件更快地报价的技工、改进库存管理的超市或减少重复文书工作时间的护士,也都是生产力提高的例子。

重要的是,生产力并不等同于延长工作时间。你可以通过延长工作时间来提高产出,但生产力的提高是通过在每个工作小时内获得更多价值来实现的。

经济学家还关注多要素生产率,它试图衡量劳动力和资本(如机械、建筑和技术)如何被有效地配合使用。

生产率与生活水平有什么关系?

关系很大。从长期来看,生产率是经济可持续提高收入和生活水平的主要途径之一。

想象一下,一家企业可以在不要求员工延长工作时间的情况下多生产10%的产品。这创造了更多的收入,这些收入有可能转化为更高的工资、利润和投资,以及通过税收转化为政府收入。

在整个经济体中,这些收益会累积起来。生产力委员会表示,生产率增长一直是澳大利亚生活水平提高的主要驱动力之一,因为它可以用同样的资源生产更多的商品和服务。

但生产率的提高本身并不会自动转化为更高的工资或生活水平。住房成本、通货膨胀、税收、利率以及收入分配方式都会影响人们的实际富裕程度。

生产率如何影响通货膨胀?

生产率也决定了一个经济体在不给物价带来额外压力的情况下能增长多快。

经济学家称之为经济体的“速度限制”。如果企业能用相同数量的工人和资源生产更多产品,经济体在需求开始超过供给之前就有更大的增长空间。

反之亦然。当生产率疲软时,速度限制就会下降。企业在不遇到工人和设备短缺的情况下增加产出的空间就会缩小。如果需求持续增长快于供给,企业可能会通过提高价格来应对,从而加剧通货膨胀。CBA经济学家估计,随着生产率增长放缓,澳大利亚的可持续增长率已经下降。首席经济学家Luke Yeaman认为,持续疲软的生产率降低了经济体的速度限制,这意味着强劲的增长可能比过去更快地引发通货膨胀。

这对利率很重要。如果生产率的提高能让澳大利亚在不引发通货膨胀的情况下增长更快,那么储备银行可能就不需要通过提高利率来减缓需求。

回顾:90年代的生产率繁荣

从1990年代初到2000年代初,澳大利亚经历了一轮强劲的生产率增长,生产率增长率翻了一倍多。

澳大利亚从国际上的落后者转变为全球表现较强的经济体之一。

在此期间,进行了大量的经济改革,包括降低贸易壁垒、加强竞争、改革国有企业以及使市场更加灵活。生产力委员会表示,这些改革可能对这一繁荣起到了重要推动作用。

澳大利亚企业还迅速采用了信息技术和通信技术,尤其是在-1990年代中期以后。生产力委员会估计,这些技术的采用为年劳动生产率增长的加速贡献了约半个百分点。

生活水平得到了提高。在生产繁荣期间,澳大利亚的人均收入增长超过了所有G7经济体,而生产率的提高也支撑了实际工资的增长。

这一繁荣在2000年代逐渐失去了动力。

这只是澳大利亚的问题吗?

简而言之,不是。全球大部分发达国家的生产力增长均已放缓。

经合组织表示,其成员国生产力增长中位数在2024,年仅为0.4%,而早在2000年代初则达到1.8%。加拿大在2024,年几乎没有增长,而英国则出现倒退。

经合组织的数据显示,澳大利亚在发达经济体中处于中等水平,低于美国及几个北欧国家等经济体。

加拿大、新西兰和英国面临着与澳大利亚类似的许多问题:人口老龄化、以服务业为主的经济以及投资增长弱于早几十年。

我们究竟如何衡量生产力?

衡量每位工人生产更多吨的钢材或更多盒麦片相对容易。但要回答关于教师、护士、老年护理工作者或公务员的同样问题则困难得多。

澳大利亚统计局通过将经济产出与工作时间进行比较来衡量劳动生产率。对于以市场价格销售商品和服务的商业企业,这些价格提供了关于所生产价值的有效信息。

但卫生、教育和政府行政管理的大部分内容没有意义的市场价格。因此,澳大利亚统计局可能采用诸如入院人数或学生入学人数等指标来衡量。

虽然这些数字可以告诉我们提供了多少服务,但它们无法告诉我们患者是否康复得更快,或学生是否接受了更好的教育。

那么,是我们的生产率变差了,还是衡量方法变差了?

随着时间推移,澳大利亚经济已大幅转向服务业,目前服务业占GDP的比重约为70%,而在1960年代约占GDP的一半。与此同时,制造业占经济的比重已从约四分之一下降到7%以下。

生产率委员会的研究估计,服务业就业占所有就业岗位的近十分之10。

而正如我们所见,服务业的生产率更难衡量。

这个问题在经济学家所谓的非市场部门尤为重要,该部门包括医疗、教育和公共管理。

在这些行业中,澳大利亚工作时间占比从20%1994-95年间的约20%上升到28%2024-25,年间的28%,主要由医疗保健和社会援助推动。生产率委员会表示,传统统计方法可能会遗漏这些领域在质量和效率方面的一些改进。

但在更容易衡量的领域,生产率也同样疲弱,而商业投资放缓和新技术的采用率较低被认为是促成因素。

尽管如此,或许可以说,单一的生产率总体数字并不能说明全部问题。

更好的工具和技术

新机械、软件和人工智能可以帮助工人在相同时间内完成更多工作。

更多的商业投资

当企业投资于设备、技术和新的工作方式时,生产率往往会提高。

技能与时俱进

当劳动者具备良好运用技术的技能和培训时,技术能带来更多效益。

更强的竞争

竞争可以推动企业创新、减少浪费,并找到更好地服务客户的方式。

更智能的基础设施

更好的交通、能源和数字网络可以降低经商的时间和成本。

设计良好的监管、更完善的法规

削减不必要的文书工作和延误,可以使企业和员工腾出更多时间投入生产性活动。

更好的工作方式

仅靠投资是不够的。最大的收益往往来自于企业重新设计流程并利用技术来消除重复或低效的工作。

企业在这里能发挥作用吗?

提高生产力的最重要方法之一是为工人提供更好的工具。

这可以是工厂里的新机器、办公室里的更好的软件、升级的车辆或减少重复性行政工作的技术。

经济学家称之为“资本深化”。用日常的话说,这意味着当工人拥有更好的设备和技术的支持时,他们通常可以做更多的事情。

生产力委员会表示,投资新技术并更有效地利用资本对于提高劳动生产力和生活水平很重要。

最近的CommBank数据提供了一个企业层面的例子。在接受调查的企业中,近十分之10报告在最近的资产升级后生产力提高了超过10%。CommBank的资产融资数据也显示,12月2025的技术资产融资比一年前高出48%。

然而,单靠投资并不能保证生产力的提高。重要的是新机器、软件或技术是否真的能让企业做得更好或更快。

技术在哪里发挥作用?

技术推动了历史上一些最大的生产率变革,从机械化和电力到计算机和互联网。这是生产率在1990年代激增的一个重要原因,而现在人工智能也被寄予类似的期望。

联邦银行的Luke Yeaman估计,深度且广泛整合人工智能的经济体,其劳动生产率增长每年可以提高约0.8到1个百分点。

真正的收益来自于企业改变工作方式以充分利用新技术:重新设计流程、培训员工,并将技术应用于真正节省时间或让员工从事更有价值工作的任务。

联邦银行企业银行业务集团执行官Mike Vacy-Lyle表示,对企业的生产力来说,可以非常实际,比如“报价更快,减少行政时间,利用数据管理库存,采用技术,或让团队腾出更多时间与客户相处”。

这种区分将变得越来越重要。澳大利亚可能会经历一场人工智能基础设施的投资热潮,但如果整个经济中的企业采用这项技术的速度缓慢,就不一定能获得全部的生产力效益。

如果生产率如此重要,为什么难以改善?

因为生产率不是一项政策或一个行业能解决的。

它是数百万个关于投资、技术、技能、基础设施、监管以及工作场所运作方式的决策累积的结果。

政府可以影响其中的许多因素,但不能简单地强制提高生产率。

而且有些变化需要多年时间才能在数据中显现。

这有助于解释为什么生产率不断回到政治和商业讨论中。它听起来像是一个抽象的经济指标,但随着时间的推移,它有助于决定一些更实际的东西:澳大利亚人能够赚取和消费多少,而不必仅仅通过延长工作时间来实现。

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完整英文原文

Key points

Productivity measures how much value we produce from the resources we use.

Australia’s productivity growth has slowed, but parts of the modern services economy are difficult to measure.

Business investment, technology, skills and better ways of working could help lift productivity and living standards.

Politicians, economists and business leaders regularly say Australia needs to improve productivity if living standards are going to rise.

“The best way to sustain and grow living standards over time is to make our economy more productive,” Treasurer Jim Chalmers said recently.

“Higher living standards is the holy grail, and a more productive economy is how we deliver it.”

So why is productivity so important to our living standards? Let’s start by looking at what it means.

What actually is productivity?

At its simplest, productivity is a measure of how much we can produce with what we have.

In economic terms, the most often discussed measure is labour productivity, which looks at the amount of economic output produced for every hour worked.

For example, if a factory can make 110 products in the time it previously took to make 100, productivity has increased.

A tradie using software to quote jobs faster, a supermarket improving stock management or a nurse spending less time duplicating paperwork are all also examples of productivity improvements.

Importantly, productivity isn’t the same as working longer. You can lift output by working longer hours, but productivity improves by getting more value from each of those hours.

Economists also look at multifactor productivity, which attempts to measure how efficiently labour and capital, such as machinery, buildings and technology, are used together.

What’s productivity got to do with living standards?

Quite a lot. Over the long term, it’s one of the main ways an economy can sustainably increase incomes and living standards.

Imagine a business can produce 10% more without asking staff to work 10% longer. That creates more income that can potentially flow into higher pay, profits and investment, as well as government revenue through taxes.

Across an entire economy, those gains will add up. The Productivity Commission says productivity growth has been one of the primary drivers of higher Australian living standards because it allows more goods and services to be produced from the same resources.

But better productivity on its own doesn’t automatically translate into a bigger pay packets or higher living standards. Housing costs, inflation, taxes, interest rates and how income is distributed will all affect how well-off people feel.

How does productivity affect inflation?

Productivity also helps determine how fast an economy can grow without putting extra pressure on prices.

Economists call this an economy’s “speed limit”. If businesses can produce more from the same number of workers and resources, the economy has more capacity to grow before demand starts running ahead of supply.

The reverse is also true. When productivity is weak, the speed limit falls. Businesses have less room to increase output without running into shortages of workers and equipment. If demand keeps growing faster than supply, businesses may respond by raising prices, adding to inflation. CBA economists have estimated Australia’s sustainable growth rate has fallen as productivity growth has slowed. Chief Economist Luke Yeaman argues that persistently weak productivity has lowered the economy’s speed limit, meaning stronger growth can generate inflation sooner than it did in the past.

That matters for interest rates. If stronger productivity allows Australia to grow faster without generating inflation, there may be less need for the Reserve Bank to slow demand through higher rates.

Retro view: The 90s productivity boom

Australia experienced a strong burst of productivity growth from the early 1990s into the early 2000s, with growth in productivity more than doubling.

Australia went from an international laggard to one of the world’s stronger performers.

There was a lot of economic reform during that period, including lower trade barriers, greater competition, changes to government-owned businesses and more flexible markets . The Productivity Commission says these reforms likely contributed significantly to the boom.

Australian businesses also rapidly adopted IT and communications technology, particularly from the mid-1990s. The Productivity Commission estimates this added up to about half a percentage point to the acceleration in annual labour productivity growth.

Living standards lifted. Australia’s per-capita income growth during the productivity boom outpaced every G7 economy, while stronger productivity also supported real wage growth.

The boom ran out of steam during the 2000s.

Is it just an Australia problem?

In short, no. Productivity growth has slowed across much of the developed world.

The OECD says median productivity growth across its members was just 0.4% in 2024, compared with 1.8% during the early 2000s. Canada recorded almost no growth in 2024, while the UK went backwards.

OECD data puts Australia around the middle of the pack among advanced economies, and below economies including the US and several northern European countries.

Canada, New Zealand and the UK face many of the same problems Australia does: ageing populations, economies dominated by services and weaker investment growth than in earlier decades.

How do we actually measure productivity?

Producing more tonnes of steel or boxes of cereal per worker is relatively easy to measure. It’s much harder to answer the same question about a teacher, nurse, aged-care worker or public servant.

The Australian Bureau of Statistics measures labour productivity by comparing economic output with hours worked. For businesses selling goods and services at market prices, those prices provide useful information about the value of what’s being produced.

But much of health, education and government administration doesn’t have a meaningful market price. The ABS may therefore measure things such as hospital admissions or student enrolments.

While those numbers can tell us how many services were provided, they don’t tell us whether a patient recovered faster or a student received a better education.

So are we getting worse at productivity, or worse at measuring it?

Over time, Australia’s economy has shifted heavily towards services, which now account for around 70% of GDP, compared with roughly half of GDP in the 1960s. Manufacturing, meanwhile, has fallen from around a quarter of the economy to under 7%.

Productivity Commission research estimates services industries account for close to nine in every 10 jobs.

And services productivity, as we’ve seen, is harder to measure.

The problem is particularly important in what economists call the non-market sector, which includes health, education and public administration.

The share of Australian hours worked in those industries rose from about 20% in 1994-95 to 28% in 2024-25, driven largely by health care and social assistance. The Productivity Commission says conventional statistics are likely to miss some improvements in quality and efficiency in these areas.

But productivity has also been weak in areas where measurement is easier, while slower business investment and weaker uptake of new technologies have been identified as contributing factors.

Still, it’s probably true to say that a single headline productivity number doesn’t tell the whole story.

Better tools and technology

New machinery, software and AI can help workers get more done in the same amount of time.

More business investment

Productivity tends to improve when businesses invest in equipment, technology and new ways of working.

Skills that keep pace

Technology delivers more when workers have the skills and training to use it well.

Stronger competition

Competition can push businesses to innovate, cut waste and find better ways to serve customers.

Smarter infrastructure

Better transport, energy and digital networks can reduce the time and cost of doing business.

Well designed, better regulation

Cutting unnecessary paperwork and delays can free businesses and workers to spend more time on productive activity.

Better ways of working

Investment alone isn’t enough. The biggest gains often come when businesses redesign processes and use technology to remove repetitive or inefficient work.

Does business have a role to play here?

One of the most important ways to lift productivity is to give workers better tools.

That could be new machinery in a factory, better software in an office, upgraded vehicles or technology that cuts repetitive administration.

Economists call this “capital deepening”. In everyday terms, it means workers can generally do more when they have better equipment and technology to work with.

The Productivity Commission says investing in new technologies, and using capital more effectively, is important for lifting labour productivity and living standards.

Recent CommBank data provides an example at the business level. Almost nine in 10 businesses surveyed reported productivity gains of more than 10% after recent asset upgrades. CommBank asset finance data also showed financing for technology assets was 48% higher in December 2025 than a year earlier.

Investment alone, though, doesn’t guarantee a productivity gain. What matters is whether the new machinery, software or technology actually allows a business to do something better or faster.

Where does technology fit in?

Technology has driven some of the biggest productivity changes in history, from mechanisation and electricity to computers and the internet. It’s a big reason productivity boomed in the 1990s, and AI is now being talked about in similar terms.

CommBank’s Luke Yeaman estimates economies that integrate AI deeply and widely could lift labour productivity growth by around 0.8 to 1 percentage point a year.

The real gains come when businesses change the way they work to make the most of the new tech: redesigning processes, training staff and using technology on tasks where it genuinely saves time or allows people to do more valuable work.

CommBank Group Executive Business Banking Mike Vacy-Lyle says productivity for businesses can be as practical as “quoting faster, cutting time from admin, using data to manage stock, adopting technology, or freeing teams up to spend more time with customers”.

That distinction will become increasingly important. Australia could experience a major investment boom in AI infrastructure without necessarily receiving the full productivity benefit if businesses across the economy are slow to adopt the technology.

If productivity matters so much, why is it so hard to fix?

Because productivity isn’t one policy or one industry.

It’s the accumulated result of millions of decisions about investment, technology, skills, infrastructure, regulation and how workplaces operate.

Governments can influence many of those things, but they can’t simply mandate higher productivity.

And some changes take years before they show up in the numbers.

That helps explain why productivity keeps returning to political and business debates. It can sound like an abstract economic measure, but over time it helps determine something much more tangible: how much Australians can earn and consume without simply having to work longer to get there.

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AI 分析
由 AI 依据上文研报生成 · 非原文直译、非机构原话 · 重要判断请核对官网原文
关键论点
  • 生产率的增长是生活水平提高的关键。
  • 由于结构性转变和衡量问题,澳大利亚的生产率增长已经放缓。
  • 商业投资、技术、技能和监管改革可以提高生产率。
  • 更强的生产率可以减轻通胀压力和对更高利率的需求。
  • 如果深度实施AI,每年可将生产率增长提高0.8-1个百分点。
风险
  • 由于住房成本、通胀、税收和收入分配,生产率可能不会自动转化为更高的工资或生活水平。
  • 服务业的衡量困难可能掩盖真实的效率表现。
  • 如果经济中采用缓慢,对AI的投资可能不会产生效率收益。