东盟每年需要USD400亿美元以实现净零排放。了解企业为何看好转型前景,以及如何为其融资。
东盟能源转型:企业界的声音
主要要点
所有受访企业均认为气候风险具有实质性影响,其中洪水风险是他们最常提及的威胁。
近四分之三的企业认为向低碳经济转型将增强其业务。
加快进展的主要障碍是负担能力和基础设施,而非消费者意愿。
东盟每年需约500亿美元以实现净零排放,但其可持续债务仅占全球未偿总额的3%。
所有受访企业均已筹集可持续融资,并预计将再次筹集,这表明融资成本更低且投资者基础更广泛。
转型已成为经济战略,而不仅仅是气候战略
东盟拥有近700百万人口,是全球增长最快的经济体之一,未来25年内人口将增加约80百万。随着收入增长、工业扩张以及人工智能采用率的提高,电力需求将急剧攀升,这使电力系统建设成为该地区最紧迫的优先事项之一。近期地缘政治冲击、贸易中断和供应链不确定性,更强化了建立更加依托本土、减少对进口燃料依赖的能源体系的理由。
需求的规模令人瞩目。东盟的电力消费在2024,年达到1,352太瓦时,如果人均消费达到当今高收入国家的水平,总需求可能增加约4.5倍,达到近6,200太瓦时。然而,太阳能和风能目前仅占该地区发电量的4%,而在欧盟和澳大利亚等成熟市场,这一比例约为30%。
潜力与现实之间的差距正是机遇所在。可再生能源、储能、电网及相关技术,有助于东盟经济体扩大供应、增强韧性和保持竞争力,其作用远超实现气候目标。我们的《东盟转型调查》报告反映了该地区最具转型关键性行业的企业如何应对,他们的回答告诉我们三件事:他们如何看待风险、将资本投向何处,以及什么在阻碍他们。
调查数据一览
100%的受访企业认为气候风险对其业务具有实质性影响,其中超过90%的企业特别指出洪水风险。
74%的企业认为向低碳经济转型将有利于公司前景。
几乎每10家企业中就有9家已在使用太阳能,这也是他们预期表现最佳的解决方案。
100%的企业已筹集可持续融资,且所有企业均预期再次进行此类融资。
67%的企业预期使用绿色或可持续发展挂钩债券或贷款;53%的企业预期使用混合融资。
超过70%的企业预期本地交通将实现电气化,超过90%的企业希望使用电池。
气候风险被视为实质性风险,但很少有企业为适应气候变化提供资金
所有受访企业都认为气候风险具有实质性:64%的企业已将其视为当前业务威胁,其余企业预计其将在中长期内成为威胁。洪水风险是最常被提及的担忧,超过90%的受访者提及,其中包括所有能源和公用事业公司,干旱和风暴紧随其后。担忧之余也存在现实态度。约70%的企业认为其国家“较有可能”实现长期排放目标,但只有13%的企业认为“极有可能”成功,这表明需要加大努力力度。
仅发展可再生能源并不能解决这些风险。用于适应气候变化的支出并未跟上减排投入的步伐,水资源正迅速成为一个关键问题。适应是指调整做法、系统和结构,以减轻潜在损害并应对自然和气候相关危害的后果。这包括调整社会经济和环境做法以限制损害。只有7%的企业认为完全没有水资源相关风险,而40%的企业将水资源短缺描述为其经济体面临的重大且日益严峻的挑战,数据中心的发展只会加剧这一压力。面对这些风险,企业已经在采取行动,尽管行动并不均衡。
易于实现的目标已在推进,但深度脱碳仍滞后
所有受访企业都已制定了减排战略,预计在未来五年内增加对转型的投资,并希望使其供应链更加可持续。然而,这些活动集中在一些可规模化、近期解决方案上,如太阳能、能源效率和循环经济。太阳能明显领先,几乎有 9 的 10 企业已参与,而且它也是他们最期待超出预期的解决方案。
“贵公司参与了哪些解决方案?”,受访者百分比
参与集中在太阳能、能源效率和循环性上,其中太阳能在 10 企业中达到了近 9。
另一方面,对碳捕获与封存以及氢能等深度脱碳解决方案的参与仍然有限,并且工业和商业房地产行业的参与明显较少。74 的企业表示他们相信低碳经济将加强其业务,这表明他们越来越将转型视为有利可图的,即使它尚未完全具备融资条件。这种不均匀性与意图关系不大,更多是归结于成本和基础设施。
成本与基础设施,而非意愿,决定转型步伐
可负担性是加速推进能源转型的最大障碍。企业指出,前期成本高昂和缺乏规模经济是转型支出缩减的主要原因,这意味着随着解决方案成本下降,参与度也可能提升。
基础设施是另一个硬性限制。电网容量、储能和电动汽车充电设施都滞后于需求。超过 70% 的企业预期本地交通将实现电气化,但他们认为充电基础设施短缺是主要障碍,而超过 90% 的企业希望使用电池,但供应和成本制约了需求。企业欢迎数据中心和人工智能,但他们知道这两者将需要更多的可再生能源装机容量和更强大的电网来输送电力。因此,他们预期转型将是渐进且混合的,煤的使用将下降,而天然气作为过渡能源填补缺口,直到可再生能源和储能规模化发展。
这种混合观点在企业如何看待传统燃料到 2050 年的变化中清晰体现——他们预期煤炭和石油的使用将下降 2050,%,而天然气作为过渡燃料下降速度更慢。
到 2050 年,您所在国家对以下燃料的使用将如何变化?
如果成本和基础设施决定转型步伐,那么融资将改变转型速度。
东盟转型融资不足,但已有合适工具帮助弥合缺口
东盟低碳能源投资在32年达到约2023,亿美元,远低于该地区实现净零排放每年所需的400亿美元,这一缺口在2025至2050年间累计超过10万亿美元。此外,该地区仅占全球可持续债务的3%,发行量远低于同信用质量的其他地区。
在南亚、东亚和太平洋地区,私人资本占气候融资流量的55%,而欧洲为65%,美国和加拿大则高达93%。这些数字共同凸显了东盟的转型融资缺口,以及调动更多私人和可持续资本的机遇。
累计投资需求(截至2050年,万亿美元)
东盟转型投资需求(年均十亿美元,2024-2025)
到2050,年,东盟可能需要超过10万亿美元,其中能源和交通是最大的资本需求领域。
可持续债务存量(十亿美元,2024,年,括号内为人口)
东盟仅占全球可持续债务的3%,发行量低于同评级地区。
来自企业的信号令人鼓舞——所有受访企业都已筹集过可持续融资,并且都预计会再次筹集,其中大多数报告了实际收益:更低的融资成本、更广泛的投资者基础以及新的银行关系,最后一个被40%的受访者提及。他们预计使用最多的工具是绿色和可持续发展挂钩债券或贷款,占67%,混合融资占53%。
对碳市场的兴趣也在增长,超过40%的受访者尚未参与,但每个了解其碳战略的企业都预计未来会购买或出售碳信用。这一转变正在整个地区发生,印度预计从2026,年开始的合规碳市场被认为是值得关注的早期催化剂。
“您同意以下哪些陈述?”,受访者百分比
企业报告称,可持续融资拓宽了他们的投资者基础,且成本低于传统融资。
正如Ben所强调的,这项研究的一个突出发现是,对东盟企业而言,转型的商业理由日益清晰。制约因素不再是信念,而是资本。银行的作用是让转型具备可融资性:构建融资结构,将可信的计划转化为实际投资,并将客户与更深、更多元化的资本池连接起来,这是他们无法独自触及的。
我们支持的行业和工具
在渣打银行,我们与客户合作,提供全方位的转型解决方案,并根据行业不同而采用相应的工具:
公用事业领域尤其值得关注。该行业积极参与转型,但对可持续金融的利用相对较少,这种不匹配表明,随着该地区电气化进程推进,存在真正的增长空间。
那些将可信的转型计划与适当融资相结合的企业将行动最快,并将率先获得韧性和成本优势。
东盟与印度:同一轨迹,两个起点
然而,东盟的转型并非孤立发生。
东盟是更大区域变革中的一个篇章。在邻近的印度,企业对转型的热情同样高涨,但到目前为止,仅有不到40%的公司涉足可持续金融。这与东盟形成鲜明对比,后者企业已活跃于该市场。两个市场,同一轨迹,但起点不同。它们合计每年需要近700亿美元的投资用于转型,并共同迈向碳市场作为下一波活动浪潮。
我们在配套报告《印度与能源转型》中探讨了印度企业界的视角,该报告属于我们全球转型系列的一部分。
常见问题
东盟实现净零排放每年需要约400亿美元的资金,从2025年到2050,年累计超过10万亿美元,远高于2023年记录的约32亿美元的清洁能源投资。该地区目前仅占全球可持续债务存量的3%,仍有很大的增长空间。
绿色债券和可持续发展挂钩债券及贷款是最被广泛预期的工具,有67%的企业提及,其次是混合融资,占比为53%。转型融资和可持续发展挂钩贷款适合正在减少煤炭和天然气使用的公用事业和能源公司,而碳市场解决方案则是日益受到关注的领域。
主要制约因素是负担能力和基础设施,而非意愿。高昂的前期成本、有限的经济规模以及电网容量、储能和电动汽车充电设施方面的缺口,是加快进展的主要障碍。
气候风险如何影响跨境供应链
从洪水到飓风,极端天气正迫使企业重新思考其货物运输方式。
司库和首席财务官今天需要了解的ESG评级要点
渣打银行在支持我们的客户、行业和市场实现净零排放方面发挥着重要作用,但要以支持生计和促进可持续经济增长的方式来实现。我们向那些贡献温室气体排放的客户、行业和市场提供金融服务,但我们致力于管理我们的环境和社会风险,并到2050年实现融资排放的净零。
完整英文原文
ASEAN needs USD400 billion a year to reach net zero. See why corporates see upside in the transition, and how to finance it.
Key takeaways
Every corporate surveyed sees climate risk as material, and flood risk is the threat they name most often.
Almost three-quarters believe that moving to a low-carbon economy will strengthen their business.
The main barriers to faster progress are affordability and infrastructure, not consumer willingness.
ASEAN needs an estimated USD400 billion a year to reach net zero, yet it accounts for just 3 per cent of the world’s outstanding sustainable debt.
Every corporate surveyed has already raised sustainable finance and expects to do so again, pointing to cheaper funding and a broader investor base.
The transition has become an economic strategy, not just a climate one
ASEAN is home to nearly 700 million people and some of the world’s fastest-growing economies, with the population set to grow by around 80 million over the next 25 years. As incomes rise and industry expands, and AI adoption rates increase, electricity demand will climb sharply, which makes building out the power system one of the region’s most pressing priorities. Recent geopolitical shocks, trade disruption and supply chain uncertainty have only strengthened the case for energy systems that are more domestically anchored and less exposed to imported fuel.
The scale of that demand is striking. ASEAN’s electricity consumption reached 1,352 TWh in 2024, and if consumption per head rose to the level of today’s high-income countries, total demand could increase around 4.5 times, to nearly 6,200 TWh. Yet, solar and wind still make up just 4 per cent of the region’s electricity generation, against roughly 30 per cent in mature markets such as the EU and Australia.
That gap between potential and reality is where the opportunity lies. Renewable power, storage, grids and the technologies around them help ASEAN economies expand supply, build resilience and stay competitive, and they do far more than meet climate goals. Our ASEAN Transition Survey report captures how corporates in the region’s most transition-critical sectors are responding, and their answers tell us three things: how they see the risks, where they are putting their capital, and what is holding them back.
Survey in numbers
100 per cent of the corporates surveyed see climate risk as material to their business, and more than 90 per cent flag flood risk specifically.
74 per cent believe a shift to a low-carbon economy will benefit their company’s outlook.
Almost 9 in 10 already engage with solar power, the solution they also expect to outperform.
100 per cent have already raised sustainable finance, and all expect to do so again.
67 per cent expect to use green or sustainability-linked bonds or loans; 53 per cent expect to use blended finance.
More than 70 per cent expect their local transport to electrify, and more than 90 per cent want to use batteries.
Climate risk is perceived as material, but few are funding adaptation
Every company surveyed perceives climate risk as material: 64 per cent already treat it as a current threat to their business, and the rest expect it to become one over the medium to long term. Flood risk is the most named concern, cited by more than 90 per cent of respondents, including every energy and utility company, with droughts and storms close behind. There is realism alongside the concern. Around 70 per cent think their countries will ‘somewhat likely’ meet long-term emission targets, but only 13 per cent call success ‘extremely likely’, a signal that effort will need to intensify.
Building renewables alone will not solve these risks. Adaptation spending is not keeping pace with the money going into cutting emissions, and water is fast becoming a defining issue. Adaptation is the process of adjusting practices, systems and structures to moderate potential damage and cope with the consequences of natural and climate-related hazards. This includes adjusting socio-economic and environmental practices to limit damage. Only 7 per cent of corporates see no water-related risk at all, while 40 per cent describe scarcity as a significant and growing challenge for their economy, a pressure that data-centre development will only add to. Faced with these risks, corporates are already acting, though not evenly.
The easy wins are underway, but deeper decarbonisation is lagging
Every corporate surveyed has an emission-reduction strategy in place, expects to invest more in the transition over the next five years, and wants to make its supply chain more sustainable. However, that activity gathers around a familiar set of scalable, near-term solutions: solar, energy efficiency and the circular economy. Solar leads by a clear margin, with almost 9 in 10 corporates already engaged, and it is also the solution they most expect to beat expectations.
“Which solutions does your company engage with?”, per cent of respondents
Engagement concentrates on solar, energy efficiency and circularity, with solar reaching almost 9 in 10 corporates.
On the other hand, engagement with deeper decarbonisation solutions like carbon capture and storage, as well as hydrogen remain limited, and engagement is noticeably lighter among industrials and commercial real estate. 74 per cent of corporates say they are convinced a low-carbon economy will strengthen their business, suggesting they increasingly see the transition as profitable, even if it is not yet fully bankable. This unevenness has less to do with intent and comes down more to cost and infrastructure.
Cost and infrastructure, not willingness, set the pace
Affordability is the single biggest barrier to accelerated progress. Corporates point to high upfront costs and a lack of economies of scale as the main reasons transition spending slips, which means engagement is also likely to rise as these solutions get cheaper.
Infrastructure is the other hard limit. Grid capacity, energy storage and electric vehicle (EV) charging are all lagging demand. More than 70 per cent of corporates expect their local transport to electrify, yet they see a shortage of charging infrastructure as the key obstacle, and appetite for batteries, which more than 90 per cent want to use, is held back by supply and cost. Corporates welcome data centres and AI, but they know both will call for a great deal more renewable capacity, and more grid to carry it. As a result, they expect a transition that is gradual and hybrid, with coal use falling while gas bridges the gap until renewables and storage can scale.
That hybrid view comes through clearly in how corporates see traditional fuels changing by 2050 – where they expect coal and oil use to fall by 2050, while gas declines more slowly as a bridging fuel.
How will your country’s use of the following fuels change by 2050?
If cost and infrastructure set the pace, financing is what changes it.
ASEAN is under-financed for the transition but the right tools exist to help close the gap
Low carbon energy investment in ASEAN reached about USD32 billion in 2023, short of the USD400 billion a year the region needs to reach net zero, a figure that adds up to more than USD10 trillion between 2025 and 2050. The region also holds just 3 per cent of the world’s outstanding sustainable debt and has issued far less than peers of similar credit quality.
Private capital makes up 55 per cent of climate finance flows across South and East Asia and the Pacific, against 65 per cent in Europe and as much as 93 per cent in the US and Canada. Together, these figures highlight ASEAN’s transition financing gap – and the opportunity to mobilise more private and sustainable capital.
Cumulative investment requirements(USD trillion until 2050)
ASEAN transition investment needs(annual USD billion, 2024-2025)
ASEAN may need more than USD 10 trillion by 2050, with energy and transport the largest calls on capital.
Outstanding sustainable debt (USD billion 2024, population in brackets)
ASEAN holds just 3 per cent of global sustainable debt, and has issued less than similarly rated peers.
The signal from corporates is encouraging – every company surveyed has already raised sustainable finance, and all of them expect to again, with most reporting real benefits: cheaper funding, a wider investor base and new banking relationships, the last of these cited by 40 per cent. The tools they expect to use most are green and sustainability-linked bonds or loans, at 67 per cent, and blended finance at 53 per cent.
Interest in carbon markets is growing too with more than 40 per cent not active yet, but every corporate that knows its carbon strategy expects to buy or sell credits in future. That shift is happening across the region, and India’s compliance carbon market, expected from 2026, is an early catalyst they say is worth watching.
“Which of the following statements do you agree with?”, per cent of respondents
Corporates report that sustainable finance broadened their investor base and proved cheaper than traditional funding.
As Ben highlights, what stands out from this research is that the business case for transition is increasingly clear to corporates across ASEAN. The constraint is no longer conviction, it’s capital. The Bank’s role is to make the transition bankable: structuring financing that turns credible plans into investment on the ground, and connecting clients to a deeper, more diverse pool of capital than they could reach alone.
The sectors and instruments we support
At Standard Chartered, we work with clients across the full transition suite of solutions, and the right instruments differing by sector:
Utilities are a particular opportunity. They engage strongly with the transition but make comparatively little use of sustainable finance, and that mismatch points to real headroom as the region electrifies.
The corporates that pair credible transition plans with the right financing will move fastest, and they will capture the resilience and cost advantages first.
ASEAN and India: one trajectory, two starting points
ASEAN’s transition, though, is not happening in isolation.
ASEAN is one chapter in a larger regional shift. In neighbouring India, corporate appetite for the transition is just as strong, though fewer than 40 per cent of companies have tapped sustainable finance so far. That is a clear contrast with ASEAN, where corporates are already active in the market. Two markets, one trajectory, different starting points. Together, they account for close to USD700 billion a year in transition investment need, and a shared move toward carbon markets as the next wave of activity.
We look at Corporate India’s perspective in our companion report, India and the Energy Transition, part of our ongoing series on the transition globally.
Frequently asked questions
ASEAN needs an estimated USD400 billion a year to reach net zero, more than USD10 trillion between 2025 and 2050, and well above the roughly USD32 billion of clean energy investment recorded in 2023. The region currently holds just 3 per cent of the world’s outstanding sustainable debt, which leaves significant room to scale.
Green and sustainability-linked bonds and loans are the most widely expected, cited by 67 per cent of corporates, followed by blended finance at 53 per cent. Transition finance and sustainability-linked loans suit utilities and energy companies moving away from coal and gas, while carbon market solutions are a growing area of interest.
Affordability and infrastructure, rather than willingness. High upfront costs, limited economies of scale, and gaps in grid capacity, storage and EV charging are the main constraints on faster progress.
How climate risk is impacting cross-border supply chains
From floods to hurricanes, extreme weather is forcing businesses to rethink how they move their goods.
What treasurers and CFOs need to know about ESG ratings toda…
Standard Chartered has an important role to play in supporting our clients, sectors and markets to deliver net zero, but to do so in a manner that supports livelihoods and promotes sustainable economic growth. We provide financial services to clients, sectors and markets that contribute to greenhouse gas emissions however we’re committed to managing our environmental and social risks and to becoming net zero in our financed emissions by 2050.
预览 PDF
正在载入文档……
关键论点
- 东盟每年需要约4000亿美元以实现净零排放,但其可持续债务仅占全球的3%。
- 100%的受访企业认为气候风险对其业务具有实质性影响,其中超过90%特别提及洪水风险。
- 74%的企业认为向低碳经济转型将有利于其公司前景。
- 企业预期转型将是渐进和混合式的,煤炭使用将下降,而天然气作为过渡燃料,直到可再生能源和储能规模化。
- 融资是改变节奏的关键;所有受访企业都已筹集过可持续融资,并预期再次进行。
风险
- 洪水风险是最常被提及的担忧,超过90%的受访者提到,包括所有能源和公用事业公司。
- 适应支出的速度跟不上减排投入。
- 水资源短缺是一个重大且日益严峻的挑战,40%的企业认为其严重。
- 电网容量、储能和电动汽车充电等基础设施缺口限制了更快进展。
- 只有13%的企业认为实现长期排放目标“极有可能”。