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汇丰 · 2026/08/18

印度业务拓展机遇 | 洞察

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印度业务拓展机遇 | 洞察

随着经济规模迅速逼近4万亿美元,印度为国际企业提供了高增长和可扩展的市场机遇。

印度已稳固确立为全球增长最快的主要经济体之一。该国首席经济顾问V·阿南塔·纳格塞兰预测,本财年经济增长率最高可达7.4%,这一轨迹将使得该国GDP最早在明年突破4万亿美元的门槛。1

印度的增长使其成为外国直接投资的磁石,自2022.2年以来,年均流入额达83亿美元。南亚-东南亚走廊沿线的投资尤为活跃:汇丰近期一项调查发现,泰国和马来西亚的国际企业在全球18个市场中,最有可能考虑在印度进行扩张。

凭借庞大且不断增长的国内市场、充满活力的数字经济以及在全球供应链中日益提升的地位,印度对国际企业具有巨大吸引力。然而,要抓住这些机遇,需要具备精准驾驭印度规模、复杂性和多样性的能力。

印度数字化转型的魅力

对于寻求在印度市场站稳脚跟的企业而言,该国加速推进的数字化转型正开辟出一条通往新机遇的路径。

数字经济对GDP的贡献预计将从目前的约13%%提升至2030,年的近20%%。3根据谷歌与德勤联合发布的报告,到2030,年,将有约150百万新消费者成为数字购物者,从而显著拓宽能够驾驭该国电商格局的企业所面对的可触达市场。4

随着数字商务的增长以及云计算、人工智能和其他数据密集型技术的采用,全国范围内对数字基础设施的需求也在加速增长。数据中心行业正酝酿快速扩张,预计到2030.5年,装机容量将达到4-5吉瓦。

建设韧性基础设施和宜居城市

基础设施是另一个增长引擎。过去十年,印度的航空和高容量公路网络几乎翻了一番。6 本财年的基础设施支出将从上年的INR11.2万亿(USD122亿)增至INR12.2万亿(USD133亿),突显了全国范围内加强建设更宜居、连通性更强和更具韧性城市的协同努力。7

与此同时,电力需求快速增长。印度现已成为世界第三大电力消费国,到本世纪中叶,电力消耗预计将增至三倍以上,凸显了对发电和配电进一步投资的需求。8 气候变化,加上日益不稳定的季风和更强烈的洪水,也增加了对更具韧性和可持续基础设施投资的需求。

国际企业可在印度基础设施建设中发挥作用——从支持能源转型和大规模城市及交通项目,到协助部署节能技术、智能电网解决方案,以及发展气候韧性供应链。

全球贸易网络的演变也带来了重大机遇。随着跨国公司多元化其生产能力以及新兴贸易走廊的形成,印度有望在全球制造业中占据更大份额。上一财年,出口总额创下USD860亿的纪录。9

结合本地专长与全球一体化

进入或扩展印度业务的国际公司必须应对一个碎片化、多样化的市场,这常被比作由众多独立国家组成的集合,其语言、文化和商业实践存在显著差异。

要把握印度的潜力,日益需要有广泛的足迹。未来15年,预计有93%的新城市消费者将来自该国五大城市以外。10

在印度运营的企业还需要应对复杂的地方、邦和联邦法律框架,这些法律频繁修订。这包括复杂的劳动法和特定行业的法规,增加了维持合规所需的时间和成本。高昂的交易成本和基础设施低效——如港口拥堵和运输延误——也可能削弱竞争力。

同时,由于印度拥有世界领先的实时支付生态系统,印度供应商和合作伙伴对速度有很高期望。统一支付接口(UPI)已改变了日常交易,在2025.11处理了228.5亿笔支付。

这意味着新进入者必须准备好实时管理支付,应对本币敞口和高交易量带来的复杂对账需求。稳健的外汇和现金管理能力是企业的重要优先事项。

将印度业务整合到全球供应链中还需要复杂的贸易解决方案,使国际公司能够将融资无缝嵌入其ERP系统、物流网络和数字平台。

遵守全球可持续发展目标也可能需要专家专业知识,帮助企业跟踪当地运营绩效。战略银行合作伙伴可以识别绿色金融机会——随着资本流向支持发展中和高排放经济体的转型路径,这一领域日益重要。

汇丰在印度的领导层在交易之外也积极参与。他们帮助我们高效、无缝地执行了交易,很少有银行能在这种规模下做到这一点。

汇丰如何助力把握机遇

汇丰长期以来在国际客户印度发展之旅的关键时刻为其提供支持。我们在印度的业务历史可追溯至1853,年印度商业银行的成立,汇丰于1867年在加尔各答开设首家分行。如今,我们在18个城市设有30家分行,员工人数超过44,000人。

我们已帮助多家跨国零售商和电子商务公司驾驭印度的监管环境,并扩展其印度业务。我们支持了像Ather Energy这样的创新企业——一家电动滑板车制造商——从初创到IPO,协助其获得增长资本并确立其上市公司地位。

我们的并购融资和全球财资解决方案也帮助像KPIT这样的企业跨境扩展,并实时掌握其在印度及全球的现金流。如今,汇丰的系统助力印度两大领先电商平台每日超过五分之三的支付处理。

在印度,巨大机遇伴随高度复杂,这种全球连接与本地专业知识的结合至关重要。这也使我们能够支持印度企业向其他市场进行重大战略扩张。当Sudashan Chemicals于202512,年3月收购德国Heubach集团时,汇丰的全球流动性解决方案、货币风险管理和营运资本优化服务提供了至关重要的支持。

“汇丰的与众不同之处在于其全球网络、结构设计专长及跨市场快速行动的能力,”Sudarshan Chemicals董事长兼董事总经理Rajesh Rathi表示。“汇丰印度领导层在交易之外也积极参与。他们帮助我们高效且顺畅地执行交易,很少有银行能在如此规模上做到这一点。”

汇丰印度的全球网络银行(GNB)部门服务在印度运营的跨国公司的近半数。凭借在印度设立的专门中国、台湾和韩国业务团队,以及海外的美国和英国业务团队,我们也为在这些重要贸易走廊运营的企业提供定制化解决方案。

在印度国际金融中心GIFT City,汇丰是首家推出区域财资中心现金池和托管服务的外资银行。这一领先地位在GIFT国际银行论坛上获得认可,汇丰在2025年被评为年度最佳银行。

汇丰也是首家在印度推出可持续供应链金融(SCF)解决方案的银行,帮助企业管理支付周期,同时激励可持续实践。

无论是预测性营运资本、嵌入式金融解决方案还是商业咨询,汇丰都帮助国际客户充满信心地扩展印度业务,助其在这个全球最具活力的增长市场之一中把握机遇。

来源

1 https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indias-gdp-growth-estimated-78-oct-dec-following-data-revamp-2026-02-27/ 2 https://www.fortuneindia.com/business-news/indias-greenfield-fdi-inflow-announcements-at-83-bn-annually-since-2022-mckinsey/126918 3 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/security-tech/technology/indias-digital-economy-to-account-for-20-of-gdp-by-2030-meity-secy/articleshow/129647858.cms 4 https://www.deloitte.com/in/en/about/press-room/indias-e-commerce-market-set-to-reach--250-billion-by-2030.html 5 https://www.businessworld.in/article/india-s-data-centre-boom-to-push-capacity-to-5-gw-by-2030-vestian-601963 6 https://www.pib.gov.in/PressNoteDetails.aspx?NoteId=154624&ModuleId=3 7 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/1/indias-budget-bets-on-infrastructure-manufacturing-amid-global-trade-war 8 https://www.cfr.org/articles/indias-struggle-for-cleaner-power 9 https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2252272&reg=3&lang=1 10 https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/02/massive-urban-shift-in-india-consumer-growth-decentralizing/ 11 https://worldline.com/en-in/home/main-navigation/resources/reports-and-insights/2025/india-digital-payment-report-calendar-year-2025-in-review 12 https://www.sudarshan.com/newsroom/sudarshan-chemical-completes-acquisition-of-heubach-group/

完整英文原文

With an economy fast approaching USD4 trillion, India offers high growth and scalable market opportunities for international businesses.

India is firmly established as one of the world’s fastest growing major economies. The country’s top economic adviser, V Anantha Nageswaran, has forecast annual growth of up to 7.4% for the current fiscal year, a trajectory that would see the country’s GDP cross the USD4 trillion threshold as soon as next year.1

India’s growth has made it a magnet for foreign direct investment, with annual inflows averaging USD83 billion since 2022.2 Investments along the South-Southeast Asia corridor are especially active: a recent HSBC survey found that international businesses in Thailand and Malaysia were the most likely of 18 markets globally to be eyeing expansion in India.

With a vast, growing domestic market, a dynamic digital economy and a rising profile in global supply chains, India holds huge appeal for international businesses. Capturing these opportunities, however, will require the ability to navigate India’s scale, complexity and diversity with precision.

The allure of India’s digital transformation

For businesses looking to gain a foothold in the Indian market, the country’s accelerating digital transformation stands out as a pathway to new opportunities.

The digital economy is expected to contribute nearly 20% of GDP by 2030, up from around 13% today.3 Around 150 million new consumers will become digital shoppers by 2030, according to a joint report by Google and Deloitte, significantly broadening the addressable market for businesses that can navigate the country’s e-commerce landscape.4

Demand for digital infrastructure is also accelerating nationwide, driven by the growth of digital commerce and the adoption of cloud computing, artificial intelligence and other data intensive technologies. The data centre sector is poised for rapid expansion, with installed capacity expected to reach 4-5 gigawatts by 2030.5

Building resilient infrastructure and liveable cities

Infrastructure is another growth engine. Over the past decade, India has nearly doubled its aviation and high-capacity road networks.6 Infrastructure spending for the current fiscal year is set to rise to INR12.2 trillion (USD133 billion), up from INR11.2 trillion (USD122 billion) last year, underscoring a concerted, nationwide effort to strengthen the foundations for more liveable, connected and resilient cities.7

At the same time, demand for power is growing rapidly. India is now the world’s third-largest electricity consumer, and power consumption is projected to more than triple by mid century highlighting the need for further investment in generation and distribution.8 Climate change, with increasingly erratic monsoons and more intense floods, is also adding to the need for investment in more resilient and sustainable infrastructure.

International businesses have a role to play in India’s infrastructure build-out — from supporting energy transition and large scale urban and transport projects, to helping deploy energy efficient technologies, smart grid solutions and in developing climate resilient supply chains.

The evolution of global trade networks also presents a significant opportunity. India is well-placed to capture a larger share of global manufacturing as multinational companies diversify their production capabilities and emerging trade corridors take shape. Total exports reached a record USD860 billion in the last fiscal year.9

Combining local expertise and global integration

International companies entering or expanding in India must navigate a fragmented, diverse market that is often compared to a collection of individual nations, with stark differences in language, culture and business practices.

Capturing India’s potential increasingly requires a broad footprint. Some 93% of new urban consumers over the next 15 years are expected to come from beyond the country’s five largest cities.10

Businesses operating in India also need to contend with a complex framework of local, state, and federal laws that are subject to frequent amendments. This includes complex labour laws and sector-specific regulations that add to the time and cost involved in maintaining compliance. High transaction costs and infrastructure inefficiencies — such as congested ports and transportation delays — can also erode competitiveness.

At the same time, suppliers and partners in India have high expectations for speed, thanks to India’s world-leading real-time payments ecosystem. The Unified Payments Interface (UPI) has transformed everyday transactions, processing 228.5 billion payments in 2025.11

This means new entrants must be prepared to manage payments in real time, contending with local currency exposure and complex reconciliation demands driven by high transaction volumes. Robust FX and cash management capabilities are an essential enterprise priority.

Integrating Indian operations into global supply chains also calls for sophisticated trade solutions that allow international companies to embed financing seamlessly into their ERP systems, logistics networks and digital platforms.

Compliance with global sustainability goals can also require specialist expertise to help firms track the performance of their local operations. A strategic banking partner can identify green finance opportunities – an area of growing relevance as capital flows are directed towards supporting transition pathways in developing and high-emission economies.

HSBC’s Indian leadership has been very well engaged beyond the transaction. They helped us execute the transaction efficiently and seamlessly, something very few banks could have delivered at this scale.

How HSBC can help access opportunities

HSBC has long supported international clients at pivotal moments in their India journey. Our track record in India dates back to the establishment of the Mercantile Bank of India in 1853, and HSBC opened its first branch in Kolkata in 1867. Today we operate 30 branches in 18 cities and employ over 44,000 staff.

We have helped multinational retailers and e-commerce companies navigate India’s regulatory landscape and expand their Indian operations. We have supported innovative businesses like Ather Energy, an electric scooter manufacturer, as they go from start-up to IPO, facilitating access to growth capital and establishing the firm as a publicly traded company.

Our acquisition finance and global treasury solutions have also helped companies like KPIT expand across borders with real-time visibility over their cashflows in India and around the world. Today, HSBC’s systems help facilitate more than three-fifths of daily payments carried out by two of the country’s leading e-commerce platforms.

In India, where vast opportunity comes with high complexity, this combination of global connectivity and local expertise is critical. And it also enables us to support Indian businesses undertaking substantial strategic moves into other markets. When Sudashan Chemicals acquired Germany’s Heubach Group in March 202512, HSBC’s global liquidity solutions, currency risk management and working capital optimisation offerings offered vital support.

“What sets HSBC apart is their global network, structuring expertise and ability to move quickly across markets,” said Rajesh Rathi, Chairman and MD, Sudarshan Chemicals. “HSBC’s Indian leadership has been very well engaged beyond the transaction. They helped us execute the transaction efficiently and seamlessly, something very few banks could have delivered at this scale.”

HSBC India’s Global Network Banking (GNB) division serves nearly half of all multinational companies operating in India. With dedicated China, Taiwan and Korea desks in the country and US and UK desks offshore, we also provide tailored solutions for businesses operating across these important trade corridors.

In GIFT City, India’s international financial centre, HSBC is the first foreign bank to launch cash pooling for regional treasury centres and custody services. This leading position was recognised at the GIFT International Banking Forum, where HSBC was named Bank of the Year in 2025.

HSBC was also the first bank to launch sustainable Supply Chain Finance (SCF) solutions in India, helping enterprises manage payment cycles while incentivising sustainable practices.

Whether it’s predictive working capital, embedded finance solutions or business advisory, HSBC helps international clients expand in India with confidence, helping them capture opportunities in one of the world’s most dynamic growth markets.

Sources

1 https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/indias-gdp-growth-estimated-78-oct-dec-following-data-revamp-2026-02-27/ 2 https://www.fortuneindia.com/business-news/indias-greenfield-fdi-inflow-announcements-at-83-bn-annually-since-2022-mckinsey/126918 3 https://economictimes.indiatimes.com/small-biz/security-tech/technology/indias-digital-economy-to-account-for-20-of-gdp-by-2030-meity-secy/articleshow/129647858.cms 4 https://www.deloitte.com/in/en/about/press-room/indias-e-commerce-market-set-to-reach--250-billion-by-2030.html 5 https://www.businessworld.in/article/india-s-data-centre-boom-to-push-capacity-to-5-gw-by-2030-vestian-601963 6 https://www.pib.gov.in/PressNoteDetails.aspx?NoteId=154624&ModuleId=3 7 https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/2/1/indias-budget-bets-on-infrastructure-manufacturing-amid-global-trade-war 8 https://www.cfr.org/articles/indias-struggle-for-cleaner-power 9 https://www.pib.gov.in/PressReleasePage.aspx?PRID=2252272&reg=3&lang=1 10 https://www.weforum.org/stories/2026/02/massive-urban-shift-in-india-consumer-growth-decentralizing/ 11 https://worldline.com/en-in/home/main-navigation/resources/reports-and-insights/2025/india-digital-payment-report-calendar-year-2025-in-review 12 https://www.sudarshan.com/newsroom/sudarshan-chemical-completes-acquisition-of-heubach-group/

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关键论点
  • 本财年印度GDP预计增长高达7.4%,明年将突破4万亿美元。
  • 自2022年以来,外国直接投资年均流入830亿美元,泰国和马来西亚兴趣浓厚。
  • 到2030年,数字经济将占GDP的近20%,新增1.5亿数字购物者。
  • 到2030年,数据中心容量预计将达到4-5吉瓦。
  • 本财年基础设施支出将增至12.2万亿卢比(1330亿美元)。
  • 到本世纪中叶,电力消耗预计将增长两倍以上。
  • 上一财年出口创纪录达到8600亿美元。
  • 未来15年,93%的新城市消费者将来自五大城市以外。
风险
  • 复杂的监管框架频繁修订,增加了合规成本。
  • 高交易成本和基础设施效率低下可能削弱竞争力。
  • 由于高交易量,面临当地货币风险和对账要求复杂。
  • 气候变化影响,如不稳定的季风和洪水,增加了基础设施风险。