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德国商业银行 · 2026/08/03

印度:商业增长与机遇 | 企业客户

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印度:商业增长与机遇 | 企业客户

这个南亚国家正在快速发展,拥有强大的国内市场、年轻劳动力和快速发展的基础设施。

德国商业银行亚洲金融机构区域主管Franz-Josef Murr和德国商业银行印度首席代表Sham Mehra讨论了新贸易协定和印度强劲的国内投资如何为国际企业创造新机遇——并探讨了成功进入印度市场需要具备哪些条件。

印度的经济发展主要由内部因素推动——持续增长的国内投资、年轻且快速增长的劳动力、以及政府积极对长期发展目标产业进行共同投资。对于国际企业而言,重要的是要清晰了解印度的区域多样性和监管环境来把握这一机遇。

很少有经济体能够像印度那样在过去十年中保持这种增长轨迹——当然,没有哪个经济体有如此规模。印度目前是世界第五大经济体,过去十年GDP平均增长约6.7%,这使其有望在未来二十年内成为中上收入经济体1。

推动这一增长的部分原因是印度的人口优势——全球最大的人口约1.5亿,其中约60%的人口年龄在26岁以下。这支年轻且不断增长的劳动力是雄心与生产力的源泉,正助力经济成功。

新贸易协定表明为何印度市场对欧洲而言比以往任何时候都更具相关性

全球与印度接触的热情程度,从2025年1月签署的欧盟-印度自由贸易协定中可见一斑。该协定历经数十年才得以达成。随着重大地缘政治转变质疑欧洲一些传统经济关系,欧盟更有动力重新评估其贸易伙伴关系。

印度是一个有吸引力的选择——不仅因为其规模,还因为它提供了法律和监管的可预测性,这是其他新兴市场并非总能保证的。印度储备银行的健全监管框架为外国企业实体提供了强有力的保护。能够以明确的条件进入市场,并且至关重要的是,能够退出市场,是长期投资决策中的一个重要因素,而印度在这方面优于邻国。

事实上,该协定在政治渠道中的推进阻力远小于欧盟的其他协定,例如与南方共同市场的协定。据报道,印度与美国之间的贸易协定也在谈判中。

对于欧洲企业,尤其是德国中小企业而言,最直接的机遇在于进入一个消费能力不断上升、对国际商品需求日益增长的庞大消费市场。例如,在德国市场需求疲软之际,印度对高端德国汽车品牌的需求仍在持续上升。

基础设施投资使印度成为更具吸引力的经商之地

尽管印度的经济发展主要由国内因素驱动,但国际企业也在加大对该国的投资。来自欧洲及其他地区的跨国企业正在这个南亚国家建立业务,既服务于其国内市场,也将其作为向更远地区出口的制造基地。

这一趋势正受到国内基础设施投资浪潮的推动,使该国成为更现代化的经商之地。印度已启动一系列宏伟的交通和能源基础设施项目,包括高速公路、港口、机场和发电设施。投资规模令人瞩目——目前在建或规划中的高速公路估计达35,000公里,其中许多项目由阿达尼、塔塔和信实等国内企业集团交付,并得到政府共同投资的支持。

在能源领域,印度正朝着能源转型迈进:虽然从尼泊尔进口过剩的水电2,但相当于美国$21.6百万美元的投资正用于在马哈拉施特拉邦建设一家新的电力变压器工厂,以提高该国的制造能力并加速能源转型。对欧洲企业而言,这提供了明确的机会。欧洲在专业基础设施方面继续保持竞争优势,尤其是在可再生能源领域,而印度不断增长的投资正在创造对此类专业知识的更多需求——这一需求可通过自由贸易协定更容易地得到满足。

除基础设施外,印度的战略性50:50公私投资模式正被应用于多个行业,尤其是那些被认为具有强劲增长潜力的行业。例如,塔塔电子正在投资估计达美国$11bn3,的资金,在政府支持下,建设一座半导体制造工厂,产品应用于汽车、人工智能及其他关键领域。

当然,与如此动态的市场打交道也给国际企业带来挑战。根据新的欧盟协议与印度进行贸易的公司将受到欧盟碳边境调节机制(CBAM)的约束,而印度并未获得豁免。

这尤其具有挑战性,因为尽管印度努力向更绿色的替代能源转型,但其能源结构仍严重依赖煤炭。这对经常访问该国的人来说并不意外——在德里,12月空气质量指数达到约400的高位,远远超过安全标准。事实上,出口商可能需要购买碳证书以遵守CBAM要求,其成本可能会抵消从自由贸易协定中获得的部分(甚至可能全部)关税节省。

了解印度多元的区域经济与投资机遇

印度最好被理解为一个由多个区域经济体组成的集合体,而非一个同质化的整体。对于国际企业而言,在进入该国寻求商业机会时,必须清晰了解其区域多样性和监管环境。

有四个主要邦往往吸引最多的外国直接投资,每个邦都有各自的行业优势和特点:

马哈拉施特拉邦是印度的主要金融中心,也是IT、汽车制造和制药业的重要基地,使其成为许多企业自然的切入点。

在南印度,泰米尔纳德邦已成为电子和汽车制造的主要中心,赢得了“亚洲底特律”的绰号。该邦还拥有重要的苹果制造业务,并受益于印度最先进的港口基础设施之一,为制造商提供了进一步的优势。

卡纳塔克邦,尤其是班加罗尔,是印度的主要技术中心,也是惠普和戴尔等大型国际公司运营的全球能力中心(GCC)的所在地,这些中心受益于高度熟练且讲英语的劳动力。

最后,古吉拉特邦以专注于可再生能源生产和半导体制造而闻名。它也是印度最重要的金融部门项目GIFT城的所在地。

这些主要邦正在积极竞争外国投资——这种动态不但没有分散投资,反而为国际企业在决定投资地点时提供了更多选择。

本地银行合作伙伴是解锁印度市场价值的关键

印度增长带来的机遇不可否认,但企业也必须应对其中的复杂性。该国的银行业有其自身鲜明的特点,国际企业还应为当地机构以高度自信和独立运作的环境做好准备。这使得深入了解市场及其动态至关重要。

因此,对于希望在印度解锁机遇的国际企业而言,银行合作伙伴的选择变得至关重要。德国商业银行凭借长期的市场存在,积累了深厚的本地知识——依托广泛的本地关系和自 1986 年设立于孟买的代表处。

投资于正确的本地关系并与了解市场的合作伙伴合作的企业,将更有能力把握印度所提供的激动人心的机遇。

聚焦:通过GIFT City吸引金融服务投资

古吉拉特国际金融科技城(GIFT City)是印度首个且唯一的国际金融服务中心(IFSC)。它作为一个经济特区运营,其税收和监管框架旨在吸引国际金融机构并促进跨境资本流动。

激励结构在银行关系的双方都相当可观——企业借款人受益于从GIFT City贷款无需预扣税,这是相对于标准在岸替代方案的一项独特优势,而银行则可享受长达25年的免税利润,并可在该期间内灵活选择免税适用的具体年份。

结果是形成了一个极具竞争力的外币存款环境,吸引了来自包括斯里兰卡和尼泊尔在内的其他地区的资本。几乎所有主要的全球性企业银行现在都在GIFT City设有机构,同时印度最大的私营部门银行的离岸分支机构也在此运营。因此,企业客户越来越寻求能够提供其优势的机构,而在GIFT City运营的能力正成为基本要求,而非差异化因素。

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完整英文原文

The South Asian country is fast transforming with a strong domestic market, young workforce and fast-developing infrastructure.

Franz-Josef Murr, Regional Head of Financial Institutions Asia, and Sham Mehra, Commerzbank’s Chief Representative for India, discuss how new trade agreements and strong domestic investment in India are creating new opportunities for international corporates – and explore what it takes to engage with India successfully.

India's economic development is being shaped primarily from within – driven by sustained domestic investment, a young and rapidly growing workforce and a government that is actively co-investing in the sectors it wants to develop over the long-term. For international businesses, it is important to approach this opportunity with a clear understanding of India's regional diversity and regulatory environment.

Few economies have sustained the kind of growth trajectory that India has over the past decade – and certainly none of this size. Currently the fifth largest economy in the world, India has averaged GDP growth of around 6.7% over the last ten years, putting it on track to potentially become an upper middle-income economy over the next two decades1.

Driving this growth, in part, is India’s advantageous demographic base – the world’s largest population of approximately 1.5 billion, around 60% of whom are under the age of 26. This young, growing workforce is a source of ambition and productivity that is contributing to economic success.

New trade agreement shows why India’s market is now more relevant than ever to Europe

The extent of the global appetite to engage with India is best illustrated by the EU-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA), signed in January 2026. The deal has been decades in the making. With major geopolitical shifts underway that call into question some of Europe’s more traditional economic relationships, there has been a greater impetus for the EU to re-evaluate its trade partnerships.

And India is an attractive choice – not only because of its scale, but also because it offers legal and regulatory predictability, something that competing emerging markets have not always been able to guarantee. The Reserve Bank of India’s robust regulatory framework provides strong protections for foreign corporate entities. The ability to enter, and crucially, exit a market on clear terms is an important factor in long-term investment decisions, and it is one where India compares favourably to neighbours.

Indeed, the agreement has progressed through political channels with far less friction than other EU deals, such as that with Mercosur. A trade deal between India and the US is also reportedly being negotiated.

For European businesses, particularly for the German Mittlestand, the greatest immediate opportunity lies in reaching a large consumer market with rising spending power and a growing appetite for international goods. Demand for premium German automotive brands, for instance, continues to trend upwards in India, even as it softens in the German market.

Investment in infrastructure is making India an even more attractive place to do business

While India’s economic development has been driven primarily by domestic factors, international corporates are also ramping up investment in the country. Multinationals from Europe and elsewhere are establishing a presence in the South Asian nation, both to serve its domestic market and as a manufacturing base for exporting further afield.

This trend is being facilitated by a wave of domestic investment in infrastructure that is making the country a more modern place to do business. India has embarked on a series of ambitious transport and energy infrastructure projects – including highways, ports, airports and power generation facilities. The scale of investment is impressive – an estimated 35,000 kilometres of highways are currently under construction or planned, with many projects being delivered by domestic conglomerates such as Adani, Tata and Reliance and supported by government co-investment.

As for the energy sector, India is taking steps towards the energy transition: while surplus hydropower2 is being imported from Nepal, the equivalent of US$21.6million is being invested in the construction of a new power transformer factory in Maharashtra to boost the country’s manufacturing capacity and accelerate the energy transition. For European companies, this presents a clear opportunity. Europe continues to have a competitive advantage in specialised infrastructure, particularly in renewable energy, while India’s growing investment is creating increased demand for this expertise – a need that could be more easily addressed through the free trade agreement.

Beyond infrastructure, India’s strategic 50:50 public-private investment model is being applied across several sectors – particularly those identified as having strong growth potential. For example, Tata Electronics is investing an estimated US$11bn3, with support from the government, to build a facility for manufacturing semiconductors for a range of applications across automotives, AI and other key segments.

Of course, dealing with such a dynamic market also poses challenges for international corporates. Companies trading with India under the new EU agreement will be subject to the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), for which India has not received an exemption.

This is particularly challenging as India’s energy mix still remains heavily coal-dependent despite efforts to transition to greener alternatives. This will come as no surprise to frequent visitors to the country – in Delhi, the air quality index reached a high of approximately 400 in December 2025, far exceeding what is considered safe. Indeed, exporters may need to resort to purchasing carbon certificates to comply with CBAM requirements, the cost of which could offset some, if not potentially all, of the tariff savings gained from the free trade agreement.

Understanding India’s diverse regional economies and investment opportunities

India is best understood as a collection of regional economies rather than a homogenous entity. For international businesses, it is important to approach business opportunities in the country with a clear understanding of its regional diversity and regulatory environment.

There are four primary states that tend to draw the highest FDI, each with its own sectoral strengths and advantages:

Maharashtra is India’s primary financial hub, and a major location for IT, automotive manufacturing and pharmaceuticals, making it a natural entry point for many corporates.

In southern India, Tamil Nadu has established itself as a leading hub for electronics and automotives manufacturing, earning it the nickname of “Detroit of Asia”. The state is also home to significant Apple manufactoring operations and benefits from some of India’s most advanced port infrastructure, providing a further advantage for manufacturers.

Karnataka, and Bangalore in particular, is India’s primary technology hub and home to global capability centres (GCCs) operated by major international companies such as HP and Dell, which benefit from a highly skilled, English-speaking workforce.

Finally, Gujarat is known for its focus on renewable energy production and semiconductor manufacturing. It is also home to GIFT City, India’s most significant financial sector project.

These major states are actively competing for foreign investment – a dynamic that, rather than fragmenting investment, gives international corporates greater choice when deciding where to invest.

Locally connected banking partners are key to unlocking the value of the Indian market

The opportunities arising from India’s growth are undeniable, but there are complexities that corporates must also navigate. The country’s banking sector has its own distinctive characteristics, and international businesses should also be prepared for an environment in which local institutions operate with a great degree of self-confidence and independence. This makes a deep understanding of the market and its dynamics essential.

The choice of banking partner therefore becomes crucial for international businesses looking to unlock opportunities in India. Commerzbank has deep local knowledge built on a long-standing presence in the market – underpinned by extensive local relationships and a representative office in Mumbai, where the bank has been present since 1986.

Businesses that invest in the right local relationships and work with partners who understand the market will be considerably better placed to engage with the exciting possibilities that India has to offer.

Spotlight:, Attracting financial services investment through GIFT City

Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT City) is India’s first and only International Financial Services Centre (IFSC). It operates as a special economic zone with a tax and regulatory framework designed to attract international financial institutions and facilitate cross-border capital flows.

The incentive structure is substantial on both sides of the banking relationship – corporate borrowers benefit from the absence of withholding tax on lending out of GIFT City, a unique advantage over standard onshore alternatives, while banks can benefit from up to 25 years of tax-free profits, with the flexibility to choose which years within that period the exemption applies.

The result is a highly competitive environment for foreign currency deposits, attracting capital from other regions, including from Sri Lanka and Nepal. Almost every major global corporate bank now has a presence in GIFT City, alongside the offshore branches of India's largest private sector banks. Corporate clients are therefore increasingly seeking institutions that can provide access to its benefits, with the ability to operate in GIFT City becoming a baseline requirement rather than a differentiator.

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AI 分析
由 AI 依据上文研报生成 · 非原文直译、非机构原话 · 重要判断请核对官网原文
关键论点
  • 印度GDP增速过去十年平均6.7%,为世界第五大经济体。
  • 年轻人口(60%低于26岁)推动生产力和雄心。
  • 2026年1月签署的欧盟-印度自贸协定增强了贸易前景。
  • 大规模基础设施投资(35,000公里高速公路)和半导体制造(塔塔电子110亿美元)带来机遇。
  • CBAM合规成本可能抵消自贸协定带来的关税节省。
  • GIFT City提供税收优惠,成为企业银行业务的基准要求。
  • 泰米尔纳德邦(电子)和卡纳塔克邦(科技)等关键邦吸引外国直接投资。
风险
  • 欧盟碳边境调节机制(CBAM)成本可能抵消关税节省。
  • 印度能源结构仍严重依赖煤炭,尽管有转型努力。
  • 区域多样性和监管复杂性带来挑战。
  • 银行业具有独特性,需要深入了解。