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阿波罗全球管理 · 2026/07/15

混合:重新思考风险与回报

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混合:重新思考风险与回报

马特·诺德

合伙人,私募股权联合主管兼混合业务主管

马特·诺德

合伙人,私募股权联席主管兼混合主管

混合业务主管马特·诺德分享阿波罗的观点,将混合视为一种风险/回报框架,能够提供跨资本结构投资的灵活性。

马特·诺德解释了为什么对灵活资本解决方案的需求不断增长,以及为什么投资者日益被混合投资的组合——类似股票的回报潜力和类似信贷的下行保护——所吸引。

“阿波罗观点”专题节目邀请阿波罗及阿波罗管理基金投资组合公司中的思想领袖参与对话,各自分享他们对当前宏观经济趋势、对各业务的影响及其对投资者的潜在意义的独特见解。

您在阿波罗工作了将近23年。能跟我们介绍一下您的背景吗?

马特·诺德,合伙人,私募股权联席主管兼混合业务负责人:我从私募股权业务起步,并在此领域成长。我负责搭建了我们的混合业务,该业务目前管理的资产规模已超过$100亿美元。

Apollo从私募股权起家,而私募信贷如今占据了我们资产的绝大部分。大多数客户对混合业务不太熟悉。它是如何

马特·诺德:首先需要明确的是,我们将混合更多视为一种风险/回报框架,而非特定的资产类别。当我们谈论混合时,我们指的是具有股权类回报和信贷类下行保护的策略。你往往投资于资本结构的中间地带——仍然产生回报率,但增加了下行保护。

为什么混合策略是Apollo独树一帜的,因为我们始终是不受约束的投资者。即使在我们从事私募股权之初,我们也会考虑在资本结构的上下两端、跨市场进行投资,以寻找最佳的风险/回报。混合策略正是关于这种灵活框架,在任何市场环境中寻找最佳风险/回报。这与Apollo的DNA和精神高度一致。

您拥有专业的投资团队,那么在您提到混合投资框架时,这在实践中是如何运作的?

Matt Nord:Apollo的开放式架构是一个巨大的竞争优势。我们确实有专门的团队管理不同的基金——无论是更偏向混合信贷基金还是混合股权基金——但项目来源遍及整个平台。如果私募股权部门接到一个电话,并确定最佳的风险/回报不是收购,而是结构性股权投资,他们可以引入混合团队。Expedia就是一个很好的例子。有时,信贷部门会发现一个合适的机遇,将债务与股权部分结合起来。因此,我们的项目来源遍及整个平台。

你提到了Expedia。能否举几个例子说明混合型投资实际上是什么样的?

Matt Nord:有时是结构性股权投资,例如可转换证券,它有固定票息、一定的升值潜力和下行保护。有时是对另一家赞助商的延续基金进行结构性股权投资。或者可能是带有股权成分的债务,既有由于在资本结构中层级较高而带来的下行保护,又通过股权增益参与上行收益。Soho House就是一个很好的例子。我们提供了融资,同时也持有了一部分股权。

我们的混合型平台真正重要的地方在于其规模。因为我们已将业务中所有涉及混合主题的部分整合成超过一千亿美元的资产,无论与谁对话——另一家赞助商还是企业——我们都可以这样开始对话:“您有哪些需求?”然后围绕此制定解决方案。在新冠疫情期间的Expedia案例中,需求是流动性。最近,QXO(一家寻求资本以资助并购的上市公司)或McKesson分拆其业务之一,一切都始于大规模创新的解决方案。

为什么混合型资本现在如此受关注?是什么样的市场环境在推动您所看到的这些活动?

Matt Nord:我认为这对公司和投资者都很重要。从市场角度看,我们已经看到所有的顺风变成了逆风。从低利率到更加常态化的利率,从低通胀到更高的通胀,以及全球供应链的断裂。在这种环境下,公司往往不希望增加额外债务,因为它们不想提高杠杆率,但如果它们不喜欢自己的估值水平,也可能不想发行普通股。混合型资本填补了这一空白。

具体到发起人群体,私募股权行业目前面临的最大问题是实现退出的需求。我最新看到的数据是,发起人投资组合中约有 $4 万亿美元的未实现净值。如果公司上市变得更加困难,而且你可能不想在当前估值下出售,那么混合型资本就成为了另一种产生流动性和返还资本的方式。

对投资者而言,兴趣也在增长,因为他们投资组合中的一切变得集中且相关。我们已经谈到了“七巨头”——也许不久后会变成“十巨头”——但这些股票可能占公开股票市场的 35, 到 40,,甚至可能达到 50%。而围绕科技和人工智能的这些主题也出现在私募市场中。投资者将混合型资本视为一种以更加多元化、更低相关性的方式创造类似股权回报的机会——通过一种旨在适应不同市场环境的策略。

我们看到一些投资者从投资组合的信用部分为混合投资提供资金,另一些则从股票部分提供资金。您看到哪些类型的企业和行业在向这一方向倾斜?

Matt Nord:从主题上讲,混合投资关乎长期、持久的复利增长。您无需试图把握市场时机,因为我们会转向我们认为在任何时间点风险/回报最优的地方。有时这更偏向信用,有时更偏向股票,甚至还有符合这一框架的基础设施类投资。

我们在承销新的混合投资机会时最关注的首要因素之一是下行保护。我们花费大量时间寻找我们所说的“HALO”投资——即拥有硬资产、过时风险低的企业,以及在一定程度上免受颠覆(包括人工智能颠覆)影响的商业模式。真正确保这些是持久、长期的赢家,是顺应趋势的高质量企业。这是我们最为关注的领域。

您提到了全球工业复兴和供应链主题。您能进一步展开这个话题吗?

Matt Nord:如果将数字基础设施、人工智能和能源转型的资本需求汇总起来,总额可达数十万亿美元。这些数字如此庞大,以至于企业将需要动用所有可用的资本池,包括投资级融资、内部产生的现金流、部分普通股,以及大量混合资本和其他结构性资本。我们已帮助像xAI这样的公司融资购买芯片,这在平台上是普遍情况,特别是在数据中心和人工智能领域,这往往表现为资本结构顶层的信贷或中层的混合资本。

我们已多次提到,部分人工智能支出的回报可能具有不确定性,而这种不确定性对于股权而言确实是个问题。通过保持在资本结构的中上层,我们相信我们既能产生非常强劲的回报,同时又能保持有意义的下跌保护。

马特·诺德:你希望保持投资,但可能以更具防御性的方式进行。你不希望将杠杆用到极致,或者在估值存在不确定性时,你可能希望有更多的股本缓冲。混合型就体现了保持投资并仍能产生有吸引力的绝对回报——以及非常强劲的风险调整后回报——但以一种更具防御性的方式来实现这一理念。

关于混合融资,常见的误解有哪些,或者说市场对其的处理方式有何变化?

Matt Nord:从历史上看,在交易业务中,混合融资可能被视为后备选项。你会尝试出售公司,尝试IPO,如果这些都未能实现,才会考虑混合融资。但这种情况已发生显著变化。你看QXO或Keurig Dr Pepper融资这类交易,大致涉及$8亿美元,横跨资本结构的不同部分,这些是世界级企业执行的超大型交易。银行家和交易界现在正将混合融资方案与其他潜在替代方案并列考虑。我们看到的市场流动量已大幅增加。

您在投资者方面是否看到了同样的转变?

马特·诺德:这是一个历程。混合型投资实际上受益于一种对其有利的有趣的供需失衡。从历史上看,那些按照严格的资产配置框架进行配置的投资者会说,“嗯,这不完全是私募股权,也不纯是信贷。我不确定应该从哪里进行配置。”这意味着在供应方面,围绕混合型投资的资本形成相对有限。但鉴于我们一直在讨论的所有原因,目前对创新解决方案的需求巨大。这也是为什么,尤其是在我们的平台上,我们现在看到大量机会的原因之一。

展望未来,我认为投资者将更多地采取整体投资组合的方法,而对于那些这样做的投资者来说,混合型投资在该框架内运作得非常好。

您所说的总体投资组合方法是什么意思?

马特·诺德:意思是你不是按照严格的资产配置框架来考虑资本配置。你考虑的是你的整体投资组合,考虑的是整个组合的回报和风险特征。对于混合策略,你拥有类似信贷的下行保护,通常包含一些收益成分,股票上行空间,并且你在不同资产类别、地区和行业之间进行导航,以在任何一个时间段找到最佳的风险/回报比。一些最成熟的机构投资者实际上是最早的采纳者,因为他们已经这样思考了。

归根结底,问题在于:你希望投资组合中的风险调整后回报是多少?

马特·诺德:没错。我并不在乎你怎么称呼它。如果风险/回报比极佳,那就去做。

回到公司的整体理念,我们总是谈论单位风险带来的超额回报。这种灵活调整以把握最佳风险/回报机会的理念深植于我们的基因中。我们的大量资产负债表资本都投资于这些混合策略中。没有什么比将自己的资本与投资者资金置于一起更能体现信念了,而这正是我们所做的。通常,在我们管理的所有资产中,我们是最大的或最大的投资者之一,这在我们的混合生态系统中绝对如此。作为整个公司的投资专业人士,我们致力于我们的混合策略。我们完全是在自食其力。

对于混合领域的未来,最让您感到兴奋的是什么?

马特·诺德:尽管我们已经见证了混合领域的增长以及人们对它的兴趣日益浓厚,但我仍然认为,这项业务能够发展成什么样子,我们还处于非常非常早期的阶段。我只是不认为对发起人解决方案的需求会很快改变。首次公开募股市场会开开合合,发起人会时不时地出售资产,但那个数字如此庞大,而且对创造性解决方案的需求如此之大,以至于它将成为混合领域的一股巨大顺风。在企业方面,无论是公司去杠杆化其资产负债表、为并购提供资金,还是需要结构性资本的家族企业,我不认为不确定性会消失,我也不认为对创造性解决方案的需求会消失。我们从整个阿波罗平台获取资源,然后提供数十亿美元解决方案的能力,是一个显著的竞争优势。世界上没有多少公司能够以“您需要什么?”开始每一次对话,然后快速行动并真正交付。

在当今集中且关联性强的风险敞口、估值高企的背景下,这一优先考虑风险/回报、资本灵活性的理念

Matt Nord:对于我们的投资者来说,您无需试图把握市场时机。凭借我们的平台以及我们通过回撤策略和永续结构进行转向的能力,我们的目标是通过不断寻找最具吸引力的风险/回报,长期持续复利增长资本。

注:以上回复经过编辑以提升清晰度和简洁性,并非播客的逐字记录。

Apollo的混合价值业务提供灵活、创新且以合作伙伴为导向的资本解决方案,帮助公司和股东实现其目标。混合价值与企业家、管理团队和私募股权赞助商合作,力求在所有市场环境中提供债务解决方案和股权资本。

完整英文原文

Matt Nord

Partner, Co-Head of Private Equity and Head of Hybrid

Matt Nord

Partner, Co-Head of Private Equity and Head of Hybrid

Head of Hybrid Matt Nord shares Apollo’s view of hybrid as a risk/reward framework that can provide the flexibility to invest across the capital structure.

Matt Nord explains why demand for flexible capital solutions is growing and why investors are increasingly drawn to hybrid's combination of equity-like return potential and credit-like downside protection.

The View from Apollo features conversations with thought leaders across Apollo and portfolio companies of funds managed by Apollo, each bringing their unique perspectives on current macroeconomic trends, the impact to various businesses and what it can mean for investors.

You've been at Apollo for close to 23 years. Can you tell us about your background?

Matt Nord, Partner, Co-Head of Private Equity and Head of Hybrid: I started in the private equity business and grew up there. I've taken responsibility for putting together our hybrid business, which is now over $100 billion in assets under management.

Apollo started in private equity, and private credit is now the lion's share of our assets. Most clients are less familiar with the hybrid business. How did it

Matt Nord: It's really important to start with the fact that we think of hybrid more as a risk/reward framework than a particular asset class. When we talk about hybrid, we mean equity-like returns with credit-like downside protection. You tend to be investing somewhere in the middle of the capital structure—still generating rates of return, but with added downside protection.

Why hybrid is so uniquely Apollo is that we've always been unconstrained investors. Even when we started in private equity, we would think about investing up and down the capital structure, across markets, to find the best risk/reward. Hybrid is about this very flexible framework to find the best risk/reward in any market environment. It's very consistent with Apollo's DNA and ethos.

You have dedicated investment teams, so as you talk about the hybrid investment framework, how does that work in practice?

Matt Nord: The open architecture of Apollo is a big competitive advantage. We do have dedicated teams managing different funds—whether they're more hybrid credit funds or hybrid equity funds—but origination comes from across the entire platform. If someone in PE gets a call and determines that the best risk/reward isn't a buyout but a structured equity investment, they can bring in the hybrid team. Expedia is a good example. And sometimes, credit will identify an opportunity where it makes sense to combine debt with an equity component. So we're originating from the entire platform.

You mentioned Expedia. Can you walk through a few examples of what a hybrid investment actually looks like?

Matt Nord: Sometimes it's a structured equity investment, a convertible security, for instance, where you have a fixed coupon, some appreciation potential, and downside protection. Sometimes it's a structured equity investment in another sponsor's continuation vehicle. Or it might be debt with an equity component, where you have the downside protection of being higher in the capital structure but also participate in the upside through an equity kicker. Soho House is a good example. We provided financing and also took a piece of the equity.

What's really important about our hybrid platform is its scale. Because we've aggregated all the different parts of the business that have this hybrid thematic into over a hundred billion in assets, whoever we're speaking with, another sponsor, a corporate, we can start the conversation by asking, "What are your needs?" and then craft a solution around that. In the case of Expedia during COVID, it was a need for liquidity. More recently, with QXO (a public company looking for capital to fund M&A) or McKesson spinning off one of its businesses, everything starts with creative solutions at scale.

Why is hybrid capital so topical right now? What is it about this particular market environment that's driving the activity you're seeing?

Matt Nord: I think it's relevant for both companies and investors. On the market side, we've seen all of these tailwinds become headwinds. From low interest rates to more normalized rates, from low inflation to higher inflation, and the breakdown in global supply chains. In that environment, companies often don't want additional debt because they don't want to increase leverage, but they also may not want to issue straight common equity if they don't like where their valuation is trading. Hybrid fills that gap.

For the sponsor community specifically, the single biggest issue confronting the private equity industry right now is the need for realizations. The latest estimate I've seen is about $4 trillion in unrealized NAV across sponsor portfolios. If it's getting harder to take companies public and you may not want to sell at current valuations, hybrid becomes another way to generate liquidity and return capital.

For investors, there's also growing interest because everything in their portfolios has become concentrated and correlated. We've talked about the Mag Seven—maybe it's going to be the Mag Ten soon—but those stocks could represent 35, 40, maybe 50% of the public equity markets. And those same themes around tech and AI show up in private markets as well. Investors see hybrid as an opportunity to generate equity-like returns in a more diversified, less correlated way—with a strategy designed to navigate across different market environments.

We see some investors fund hybrid from the credit side of their portfolio, others from equity. What are the types of businesses and sectors where you're seeing

Matt Nord: Thematically, hybrid is about long-term, durable compounding. You don't need to try to time the market, because we will pivot to where we see the best risk/reward at any one point in time. Sometimes that skews a little more credit, sometimes more equity, and there are even infrastructure-type investments that fit this framework.

One of the biggest things we focus on when we underwrite new hybrid opportunities is downside protection. We spend a lot of time looking for what we call "HALO” investments—companies with hard assets, low obsolescence risk—and business models that are somewhat insulated from disruption, including AI disruption. Really making sure these are durable, long-term winners, high-quality businesses on trend. That's where we've been most focused.

You referenced the global industrial renaissance and supply chain themes. Can you pull that thread a little further?

Matt Nord: If you aggregate the capital needs across digital infrastructure, AI, and the energy transition, the numbers are in the tens of trillions of dollars. Those numbers are so large that companies are going to need to access every pool of capital available, investment-grade financing, internally generated cash flow, some common equity, and also a significant amount of hybrid and other structured capital. We've helped finance companies like xAI buying chips, and this is true across the platform, particularly in data centers and AI, it tends to be credit at the top of the capital structure or hybrid in the middle.

We've talked a lot about the fact that the returns on some of the AI spend may be uncertain, and that uncertainty is really an issue for equity. By staying at the top or middle of the capital structure, we believe we're generating very strong returns while also maintaining meaningful downside protection.

That resonates today. We're still in a performing economy, and investors want to take risk. But the challenge is on the valuation side. How do you think about p

Matt Nord: You want to stay invested, but maybe in a more defensive way. You don't want to max out your leverage, or you want more equity cushion if there's uncertainty around valuations. Hybrid plays into that notion of staying invested and still generating attractive absolute returns—and very strong risk-adjusted returns—but doing it in a somewhat more defensive way.

What are some common misconceptions about hybrid, or has anything changed in how the market approaches it?

Matt Nord: Historically in the deal business, hybrid may have been thought of as the fallback option. You'd try to sell the company, you'd try to IPO, and if those didn't happen, you'd consider hybrid. But that's changed significantly. If you look at deals like QXO or the Keurig Dr. Pepper financing, roughly $8 billion across different parts of the capital structure, these are world-class businesses executing very large transactions. Bankers and the deal community are now considering hybrid solutions alongside other potential alternatives. The volume of flow we're seeing has increased dramatically.

Are you seeing the same shift on the investor side?

Matt Nord: It's been a journey. Hybrid actually benefits from an interesting supply-demand imbalance in its favor. Historically, investors who allocated according to strict asset-allocation frameworks would say, "Well, it's not quite PE, and it's not pure credit. I'm not sure where to allocate from." That meant relatively limited capital formation around hybrid on the supply side. But for all the reasons we've been discussing, there's massive demand for creative solutions. That's one of the reasons why, especially with our platform, we're seeing an enormous amount of opportunity right now.

Going forward, I think investors are going to take more of a total portfolio approach, and for those who do, hybrid works really well within that framework.

What do you mean by a total portfolio approach?

Matt Nord: That you're not thinking about allocating capital according to a strict asset-allocation framework. You're thinking about your total portfolio, about returns and the risk characteristics across the whole thing. And for hybrid, you have credit-like downside protection, typically some yield component, equity upside, and you're navigating across different asset classes, geographies and industries to find the best risk/reward at any one period of time. Some of the most sophisticated institutional investors have actually been the earliest adopters, because they already think this way.

At the end of the day, the question is: what's the risk-adjusted return you want to see in your portfolio?

Matt Nord: Right. I don't really care what you call it. If it's amazing risk/reward, go get it.

Going back to the whole ethos of the firm, we always talk about excess return per unit of risk. This notion of being flexible to pivot to the best risk/reward is very much in our DNA. A lot of our balance sheet capital is invested in these hybrid strategies. There's no greater demonstration of conviction than putting your own capital alongside your investors, and that's exactly what we do. We're often the largest or one of the largest investors in everything we manage, and that's definitely true of our hybrid ecosystem. As investment professionals across the firm, we commit to our hybrid strategies. We're very much eating our own cooking.

What excites you most about what’s on the horizon for hybrid?

Matt Nord: As much as we've seen growth in hybrid and increased interest in it, I still think we're very, very early days in what this business can become. I just don't think the need for sponsor solutions is going to change anytime soon. The IPO market will open and close, sponsors will sell assets here and there, but that number is so large, and there's such a need for creative solutions that it's going to be a massive tailwind for hybrid. On the corporate side, whether it's companies de-leveraging their balance sheets, funding M&A, or family-owned businesses needing structured capital, I don't see the uncertainty going away, and I don't see the need for creative solutions going away. Our ability to source from the entire Apollo platform and then provide multi-billion-dollar solutions is a meaningful competitive advantage. There just aren't many firms in the world that can start every conversation by saying, "What are your needs?" and then move fast and actually deliver.

Against today's backdrop of concentrated and correlated exposures, stretched valuations, this idea of prioritizing risk/return, having flexibility of capital, a

Matt Nord: For our investors, you don't need to try to time the market. With our platform and our ability to pivot through drawdown strategies and evergreen structures, our goal is to keep compounding capital over the long term by continuously finding the most compelling risk/reward.

Note: The responses above have been edited for clarity and concision and do not represent a verbatim transcript of the podcast.

Apollo's Hybrid Value business provides flexible, creative and partnership-driven capital solutions to help companies and shareholders achieve their goals. Hybrid Value works with entrepreneurs, management teams and private equity sponsors to seek to deliver debt solutions and equity capital in all market environments.

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