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阿波罗全球管理 · 2026/07/22

Jim Zelter在彭博社访谈:满足欧洲日益增长的资本需求

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Jim Zelter在彭博社访谈:满足欧洲日益增长的资本需求

Jim Zelter

该访谈最初于14年2026月在彭博电视台播出。

欧洲的公司正面临前所未有的资本需求,这由能源转型、产业振兴和其他长期增长优先事项驱动

Jim Zelter 讨论了我们在欧洲不断增长的高等级业务,从EDF、BP、法荷航、RWE,以及最近承诺向德国拜耳提供€3亿欧元资金。

Tom MacKenzie:现在,Apollo,当我们考虑宏观经济时,这个因素当然对所有投资者来说,可以说对私人资本和私人活动也是如此。Apollo Global Management 尽管处于更高利率体制和地缘政治背景下,仍接近创纪录的一年。在收购方面创纪录的一年。它发起了对易捷航空的5.7亿英镑收购要约,并正在购买拜耳避孕药部门的£3亿欧元股份。这家投资公司的大规模支出激增使其与更广泛的私募股权行业格格不入,大多数竞争对手实际上都在努力完成新交易。非常高兴地告诉大家,我们现在邀请到了Jim Zelter,Apollo Global Management的总裁。Jim,感谢来到演播室。那么在Apollo的收购方面,有望创下纪录的一年,是什么在推动这一趋势,这种趋势会持续吗?

Apollo Global Management总裁Jim Zelter:嗯,我认为这绝对是,来到伦敦总是很棒。天气很好。你知道,我认为这是过去几年的一种趋势。你知道,我们的业务确实在继续发展,超越了36年前我们作为私募股权起家的根基。如今,我们的资产略超一万亿,其中信贷占80%,过去几年我们的大部分部署,80%以上,都在信贷领域,主要是投资级信贷。当然,在最近几天,就我们在股权方面宣布的事情而言,这很热门,我相信我们会谈到这一点。但肯定的是,听着,经济背景很强劲,尤其是在美国,但这里的一些地区也是如此。我们一直在谈论这种全球工业复兴,许多行业需要巨大的资本支出来实现增长。我们发现自己处于一个非常独特的位置,能够为许多公司提供这种资本。

Tom MacKenzie:你和团队对欧洲一直相当看好。你显然在伦敦,所以毫无疑问会有一些相当重要的会议。这是欧洲的估值故事吗?是AI吗?还是欧洲确实在AI中可以发挥作用?是什么让欧洲在经济停滞的时刻具有吸引力?

Jim Zelter:嗯,我认为全球的大故事肯定是AI技术故事,但确实,过去2或3年我们一直非常一致地认为,这场全球工业复兴,无论是能源、电力传输、产业振兴、国防还是许多其他领域。如果你看看欧洲过去24个月的交易,我们帮助法航、Vonovia、RWE、EDF、拜耳等公司融资,正如你上周提到的,这些公司需要大量的资本支出才能在世界舞台上竞争。而且,你知道,过去许多政府是资本支出的主要提供者。如今,政府的口袋不再那么充裕,无法提供这些资金。因此,我们与投资级市场和非投资级市场一起,真正成为大量资本的提供者。

Anna Edwards:Jim,早上好。很高兴见到你。

Anna Edwards:请帮我了解一下,您在欧洲投资这些企业,到底希望得到什么?我们看到有些案例,比如像Apollo这样的公司会去收购易捷航空(EasyJet),然后你会想,这是一个利润率相当低的行业,也是一个低成本行业。在过去,我们会认为像你们这样的公司进入后,会想要削减成本、提高效率。也许这确实是故事的一部分,但肯定没有多少成本可以削减了吧。那么,对于像易捷航空这样的目标,你们是怎么考虑的呢?在那些可能没有削减成本基础的地方……

Jim Zelter:当然。我相信您能理解,坦率地说,关于那笔交易我不能多说。我要告诉您的是,在私募股权领域,我们在航空和航天方面有悠久的投资历史。所以,我们在全球都有成功的投资,无论是Atlas Aviation,还是美国的Sun,我们在那个行业做得相当不错。那是一项股权投资。我之前提到的其他案例,Vonovia、法国航空、英特尔,那些都是我们提供的债务融资。所以我认为我们在欧洲的债务融资方面非常活跃,因为我们与银行合作,在这些公司需要资本支出时发挥作用。但我认为,这里有很多优秀的企业。对我们来说,这是一个非常庞大的经济背景,可以部署资本,而且在过去24个月里,我知道我已经去过德国六次了。我知道我的同行们也是如此。所以,当一家公司拥有我们这样规模和工具广度的工具箱,能够提供债务(主要是投资级解决方案)以及一些股权解决方案时,这里肯定有很多机会。这是一个非常积极的故事。

Anna Edwards:好的,考虑到您刚才所说的一切,您经常去德国。您之前提到政府财政紧张,而你们有一些资金可以投资。这让我想到国防领域,因为这是我们在欧洲经常谈论需要资本和投资的领域。这是否是您希望增加敞口的地方?

Jim Zelter:是的,我认为,再次,当你思考这个问题时,我认为当我们回顾未来24个月时,我们会说,我们谈了很多关于人工智能和超大规模计算公司的事情,但实际上,许多公司都存在着巨大的资本支出需求。目前中东地区发生的石油供应冲击,我认为正促使许多公司审视其供应链融资、即时融资和库存融资。因此,每一个经济事件都会引发各种融资需求。我们在新冠疫情期间看到了供应链问题,现在又看到了中东冲突带来的挑战。所以,许多许多公司都在思考如何以适当的方式为自己融资?它们的资产负债表上是否有可以更有效地重新配置的资产?归根结底,这一切都是关于公司采取行动优化其业务的股权回报。如果你看看我们提供这些债务融资的许多公司,它们的股价在这之后表现相当不错。英特尔就是最好的例子,自从我们在24个月前在爱尔兰提供该融资以来,其股价基本上翻了三倍。上周我们看到了拜耳的优异回报。我认为市场喜欢看到这些公司拥有广泛的融资能力。而且,由于我们独特的结构,不仅拥有非常大的第三方机构业务,还拥有非常大的保险和受监管资产负债表,我们主要在投资级领域适当运用这两者,但也在非投资级领域稍微运用一些,来配置这些资本。

Tom MacKenzie:鉴于您正在为一些人工智能基础设施提供融资,无论是英特尔在爱尔兰的业务,还是美国的Anthropic和博通,您和团队对超大规模计算公司的支出做出了哪些假设?您对当前的支出轨迹和投资回报有多大的信心?您是如何建模的?

Jim Zelter:实际上,作为债务投资者,你真正要确保的是你的下行风险得到保护。因此,我们提供资本的许多交易要么采用摊销结构,我们每年都能获得偿付,而且我们确实试图避免后端的残余风险。因此,对于我们的交易,特别是博通的交易,那是一份五年期的摊销票据。对于英特尔的设施,我们基本上只是覆盖了芯片的产能。所以,当你是一个债务投资者,尤其是资本结构顶部的投资级债务投资者时,你实际上是在努力限制你的风险。你不会像风险投资者或股权投资者那样承担这些投资的剩余股权回报。

Tom MacKenzie:您认为基础设施支出会继续以这样的速度增长吗?

Jim Zelter:你知道,我认为这将是一个很好的问题。我认为当你看到像Alphabet这样的公司通过股权和强制性的方式完成85亿美元的融资时,我认为真正的关键是每个领域都需要参与。关于私人信贷、投资级公共信贷和股权,有很多讨论。所有这些资产类别都需要真正发挥作用,因为所需的资本规模巨大,这是我们过去从未见过的。关于IG市场整体结构的影響,我已经多次与你在纽约的同事讨论过,这些超大规模企业几年前在IG领域几乎是无足轻重的参与者。到今年年底,它们将占据7到10%的份额。因此,这些公司融资的整体结构非常不同且独特。

Anna Edwards:是的,Jim,我能问一个在过去6个月左右迅速发展的问题吗,那就是在私人信贷领域。我们看到了围绕BDC的情况,这些在美国从事大量私人信贷的公司,它们有大量的软件行业敞口,然后面临大量赎回。在这一点上,作为私人信贷格局的一部分,您是否担忧这个问题?

Jim Zelter:你知道,我们经常被问到这个问题。我认为,很明显,这不是系统性风险。它实际上是非投资级私人信贷领域,这一资产类别大约有$3万亿美元。而BDC领域在其中大约有$400亿美元。所以这确实是一个非常非常小的角落。这些赎回条款与机构在提取型工具中所拥有的条款类型相同。因此,我认为由于软件或其他领域的原因,不同管理人之间的回报分散度将会有所扩大。但我绝不认为这是系统性风险。

Tom MacKenzie:您认为有些BDC,即商业发展公司,会无法挺过这一时期吗?

Jim Zelter:你知道,像任何资产类别一样,就像对冲基金行业一样,这实际上只是结构问题,然后关键在于你如何实际投资。当然,在过去5年里,前四分之一和后四分之一之间的业绩表现分散度非常小。我认为在接下来的2或3年里,你肯定会看到这些公司之间的业绩表现出现更大的分散。

Anna Edwards:所以你说这不是系统性的,这似乎是我們从不同人士那里听到的观点,Jim。不过,惠誉昨天或本周早些时候确实发布了一份报告,指出私人信贷BDC通过使用合资企业存在隐性杠杆。还有其他类似的情况吗?您对此感到担忧吗?或者我们是否应该更加关注其他类似的事情?

Jim Zelter:你知道,我认为当我们从现在起24个月后再次坐在这里时,我们会讨论软件行业的颠覆。我确实认为其他行业也会受到颠覆。对我们来说,认为信贷世界(无论是公共还是私人)中唯一会被颠覆的行业是软件领域,这是天真的想法。我认为还有其他各种分销业务,或者其他可能是轻资产业务的企业,它们利用了高利润率,我认为在人工智能和颠覆的世界中,还会有更多这样情况。因此,我认为在思考未来投资组合构建中的挑战时,你必须有更广阔的视野。

Tom MacKenzie:Jim,就当前形势而言,我们正进入财报季的开端。美国银行今天晚些时候将公布财报。您和团队在审视财报时,会重点关注哪些方面?在仔细分析这些数据时,您最关心的是什么?

Jim Zelter:嗯,我认为这些财报会相当强劲。我的意思是,本季度股市波动极大,融资活动极为频繁,但指数在季末却大幅走高。所以,你知道,我对一些公司的地区性成功感到好奇,不仅是在美国、欧洲,也包括亚洲,当然还有某些国家的表现,但我认为这些财报会相当强劲。资本市场管道非同寻常,投资级债券发行量巨大,股票发行量我估计创下了季度纪录,并购活动也相当活跃。所以,你知道,资本支出周期的宏观经济驱动因素、风险偏好心态、资本投资,目前都非常强劲,足以支撑这一切。

Anna Edwards:Jim,非常感谢。感谢您抽出时间。

Apollo 是一家解决方案提供商,为全球领先企业提供大规模灵活资本。作为主要投资者,我们提供长期、一致性的资本,帮助企业实现增长、投资和运营,助力实体经济发展。

完整英文原文

Jim Zelter

The interview originally aired on Bloomberg TV on July 14 2026.

Companies in Europe are facing unprecedented levels of demand for capital driven by energy transition, industrial revitalization and other long-term growth prio

Jim Zelter discusses our growing high-grade activity in Europe, from EDF, BP, Air France-KLM, RWE and, most recently, committing €3bn to Bayer in Germany.

Tom MacKenzie: Now, Apollo, as we think about the macroeconomics, a factor, of course, for all investors, arguably, as well, for private capital private activity. And Apollo Global Management is nearing, despite this higher interest rate regime, assume the geopolitics, Apollo Management is nearing a record-breaking year. A record breaking year for acquisitions. It's launched a 5.7 billion pound takeover bid for EasyJet and is buying a £3 billion stake in Bayer's contraceptives unit. The investment firm's massive spending surge puts it at odds with the broader private equity industry, most rivals are actually struggling to close new deals. Very pleased to say, we're joined by Jim Zelter now, President of Apollo Global Management. Jim, thanks for coming into the studio. So on track for a record year for Apollo, when it comes to acquisitions, what's been driving that, does it continue?

Jim Zelter, President of Apollo Global Management: Well, I think it's for sure, always great to be here in London. Great weather. You know, I think this has been a trend the last several years. You know, our business has really continued to evolve beyond our private equity roots of 36 years ago. Today, we're a little bit over a trillion of assets, with credit being 80% of that and most of our deployment the last several years, 80% plus has been in the credit areas and mostly investment grade credit. Certainly, you know, topical in the last couple of days in terms of what we've announced over here in the equity side which I'm sure we'll get to. But certainly, listen, it's a robust economic backdrop, particularly in the US, but also in some areas over here as well. We've talked about this global industrial Renaissance of many industries needing tremendous capex to growth. And we find ourselves in a very unique position to be able to provide that to many companies.

Tom MacKenzie: And you and the team have been pretty constructive on Europe. You're obviously here in London, so no doubt having some pretty consequential meetings. Is it a valuation story in Europe? Is it the AI? Is it that Europe actually does have some role to play in AI? What makes Europe attractive in a moment of flatlining economy?

Jim Zelter: Well, I think the big story globally, it certainly has been an AI technology story, but there really is, we've been very consistent the last 2 or 3 years, this global industrial Renaissance, whether it's energy, whether it's energy transmission, whether it's industrial revitalization, defense, and many other areas. And if you look in Europe in the last 24 months, between transactions, we've helped with financing Air France, Vonovia, RWE, EDF, Bayer, as you mentioned, this past week, you know, these companies need a tremendous amount of capex to compete on the world stage. And, you know, many governments in the past have been the purveyor of lots of capital for capex. Today, government pocketbooks aren't as buoyant to be able to provide that. So we, along with the investment grade market and the non-investment grade market, are really a provider of a lot of that capital.

Anna Edwards: Jim, good morning. Nice to see you.

Anna Edwards: Help me keep up to date with what it is you want out of these businesses in Europe that you're investing in then? Because we see names, you know, somebody like Apollo going after something like EasyJet, and then you think, this is quite a low margin business. This is a low cost business. You know, in the olden days, we'd have thought of maybe businesses such as yours going in and wanting to strip out costs and make them more efficient. I mean, maybe that is part of the story, but surely there aren't many costs to strip. So what kind of thinking goes into making a play for something like EasyJet? Where there might not be the cost base to...

Jim Zelter: Sure. Well, I'm sure you can appreciate, there's very little I can say, frankly, about that transaction. I will say to you, in the private equity area, we have a long history of investing in airlines and aerospace. So, you know, we've had successful investments around the globe, whether it's Atlas Aviation, whether it's, you know, Sun in the US, we've done quite well in that sector. That's an equity investment. The others that I mentioned to you earlier, Vonovia, Air France, Intel. Those were all really debt financings that we've provided. So I think we're extremely active on the debt financing side in Europe because of our role working with the banks, as these companies need capex. But I think there are, you know, a tremendous amount of great businesses over here. It's a very large economic backdrop for us to be able to deploy capital, and, you know, in the last 24 months, I know I've been to Germany a half dozen times. I know my peers have as well. So there's certainly a lot going on here when you have a firm with the breadth and scale of our toolbox, we can provide debt mostly investment grade solutions, as well as some equity solutions. It's a very positive story.

Anna Edwards: Okay, and thinking about all that you just said there. You've been to Germany quite a lot. You were earlier mentioning that government pocketbooks are stretched and you guys have a bit of money to spend to invest. It makes me think of the defense sector, because this is an area we talk a lot about needing capital and needing investment in Europe. Is that somewhere that you're looking to increase exposure?

Jim Zelter: Yes, I think, again, when you think about it, I think when we sit back in the next 24 months, we'll look back and say, well, we talked a lot about AI and the hyperscalers, but really, there was a major capital expenditure need around a lot of companies. What's going on right now in the Middle East with the supply shocks of oil, I think it's making many companies look at their supply chain finance, and just-in-time finance and inventory finance. So, every economic event creates a variety of financing needs in the wake of that. We saw it during COVID with supply chain, we're seeing it right now with the incursions of the challenges of the Middle East conflict. And so many, many companies are thinking about how do they finance themselves appropriately? Are there assets on their balance sheets that they can redeploy in a more effective way? At the end of the day, this is all about companies doing things that optimize the equity return of their business. And if you see a lot of the companies that we’ve provided these debt financings to, their equities have done quite well in the wake of that. Intel's the best example, the stock's basically tripled since we gave that financing out 24 months ago in Ireland. We saw a nice return from Bayer last week. I think the marketplace likes to see a breadth of financing capabilities from these companies. And again, because of our unique structure, not only having a very large third party institutional business, but a very large insurance and regulated balance sheet, we use both of those appropriately in the investment grade world, mostly, but a little bit in the non-investment grade world to put that capital to work.

Tom MacKenzie: Given that you are financing some of this AI infrastructure, whether it's Intel in Ireland, or Anthropic, and Broadcom in the US, what assumptions are you and the team making about hyperscaler spend? How comfortable are you with the trajectory of spend right now and the return on investment? What are you modeling?

Jim Zelter: We really, as a debt investor, you're really trying to make sure that you've got your downside protected. So many of the transactions that we've provided capital to have either an amortizing structure where we get paid off every year, and we're really trying to avoid that residual risk on the back end. So for our transactions, the Broadcom transaction in particular, that was a five-year amortizing piece of paper. For the Intel facility, we were really just basically the capacity of the chips. So when you are a debt investor, especially top of the capital structure investment grade, you're really trying to box your risk. You're not taking the residual equity returns that you might be if you were a VC investor or an equity investor in a lot of these.

Tom MacKenzie: Do you think infrastructure spend continues at pace at that kind of level?

Jim Zelter: You know, I think it's going to be a great question. I think when you see companies like Alphabet do their 85 billion financing between equity and mandatory, I think the real refrain is every precinct is needed. There's a lot of conversations about private credit, about investment grade public credit, about equity. It's gonna need all of these asset classes to really contribute, because the vast size of capital needed is really something we've not seen in the past. And the impact of the whole construct of the IG market, I've talked a lot about to your colleagues in New York, the construct of that, these hyperscalers were negligible players really in the IG space several years ago. They'll be up to 7 to 10% by the end of this year. So the whole construct of how these companies finance is very, very different and unique.

Anna Edwards: Yes, and Jim, can I ask you about something that's sort of fast developing, has been for the last 6 months or so, within the private credit space. And that's, you know, we've seen around BDCs, those companies in the States that do a lot of private credit, they've had a lot of software exposure. They then face a lot of redemptions. Is this something that worries you as part of the private credit landscape at this point?

Jim Zelter: You know we get asked that a lot. I think, clearly, it's not systemic risk. It really is, you know, the non-investment grade private credit area, that's about a $3 trillion asset class. This BDC area is about $400 billion of that. So it's really a very, very small corner. It's the same type of redemption provisions that institutions would have in terms of a drawdown vehicle. So, I think there will be a breadth of dispersion of returns amongst managers because of either software or other areas. But I don't see it as one where it's systemic risk by any means.

Tom MacKenzie: You think there are some BDCs out there, business development companies, that won't make it through this period?

Jim Zelter: You know, like any asset class, like the hedge fund industry, it's really just the structure, and it's really then how you actually invest in it. And certainly there has been very little dispersion of performance between top quartile and bottom quartile the last 5 years. I think the next 2 or 3 years, you will certainly see a wider dispersion of performance amongst those.

Anna Edwards: So you say it's not systemic, which seems to be something that we hear from various people, Jim. Fitch did publish a report yesterday, though, or earlier this week maybe, pointing to hidden leverage in private credit BDCs through their use of joint ventures. Are there other things like that? Are you worried about that? Or are there other things like that that we should be more concerned about?

Jim Zelter: You know, I think as we sit here again, in 24 months from now, wel talk about the disruption from the software industry. I do think other industries will get disrupted as well. For us, I think it's naive to think that the only sector in the world of credit, public and private, that is going to get disrupted is the software space. I think there's a variety of other distribution businesses, or other businesses that may be asset light, that took advantage of great margins, that I think in the world of AI and disruption, there will be more so. So I think you have to have a much broader lens when you think about the challenges going forward in portfolio construction.

Tom MacKenzie: Jim on the here and now, we're getting to the foothills of earnings season. US banks reporting later today. What are you and the team going to be watching for when it comes to earnings broadly? What is top of mind for you when you scrutinize those numbers?

Jim Zelter: Well, I suspect they will be quite strong. I mean, a tremendous amount of interstock volatility in a quarter, tremendous amount of financing activity, but yet indexes are quite higher at the end. So, you know, I am curious about some of the regional success of some of these firms, not only the US, Europe, but also Asia, and certainly certain countries in terms of performance, but I suspect they will be quite strong. The capital markets pipeline has been extraordinary, the investment grade issuance has been extraordinary, equity issuance a record quarter I believe, and also M&A has been quite strong. So, you know, the macroeconomic drivers of the capex cycle, the risk-on mentality, capital investment, pretty strong to be able to get in the way of right now.

Anna Edwards: Jim, thank you very much. Thanks for your time.

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