Forecast Accuracy
TD Economics / TD Securities
Settled 0Awaiting prices 4Direction —Mean target error —
← InstitutionSettled forecasts
No forecasts have enough licensed price observations to settle yet.
3 rate and macro calls are excluded from this score. "Bullish on 10Y Treasuries" means yields fall, and a policy or inflation stance has no price to settle against, so scoring them against the available series would invert the verdict rather than measure it.
Method: first same-source observation on/after target date, with a matching observation on/before forecast date; maximum gap is configurable and defaults to 7 days.