Calendar – 7 - 11 September 2026 · Monday, September 7, 2026 Tuesday, September 8, 2026

中文标题

日历 – 7 - 2026年9月11日 · 周一，2026年9月7日周二，2026年9月8日

Danske Bank09/04/2026updated 10/17/2026

Citable research brief

Core conclusion · Tlines extraction

Danske Bank provides a dense calendar of key economic data releases for 7-11 September 2026, including forecasts for US CPI, PPI, ECB policy, and various regional indicators. The calendar highlights a likely ECB rate cut, stable US inflation prints, and several national releases with notable divergences between Danske and consensus forecasts.

Institution: Danske Bank
Published: 09/04/2026
Research topic: ECB communication · Eurozone · Riksbank policy
Time horizon: September 10, 2026 · September 7, 2026

Key arguments

ECB deposit rate forecast at 2.50%, cut from 2.25% previous, announced on September 10.
US CPI headline expected at 0.4% m/m and 3.4% y/y in August, in line with consensus.
US CPI core expected to ease to 2.4% y/y from 2.5% previous, on par with consensus.
US PPI forecast at 0.4% m/m and 5.2% y/y, above consensus of 0.0% and 4.7%.
German HICP final expected at 0.2% m/m and 2.9% y/y, unchanged from flash estimate.
Swedish CPIF preliminary at 0.03% m/m and 1.00% y/y, slightly above consensus.
China CPI expected at 0.9% y/y, higher than consensus 0.5%.
ECB comments from Lagarde could provide further guidance after the rate decision.

Key numbers

ECB deposit rate forecast: 2.50%
US CPI y/y forecast: 3.4%
US core CPI y/y forecast: 2.4%
US PPI y/y forecast: 5.2%
German HICP y/y forecast: 2.9%
Swedish CPIF y/y forecast: 1.00%
China CPI y/y forecast: 0.9%

Main risks

Inflation may surprise on the upside if supply chain disruptions persist, especially in energy and food.
ECB's forward guidance could deviate from market expectations, leading to volatility.
Swedish inflation data might trigger Riksbank policy shifts.
Geopolitical tensions could impact commodity prices and global growth.

Corresponding source evidence

14:45 EC ECB's Lagarde speaks · September 10, 2026
08:00 SW CPI, preliminary m/m|y/y Aug 0.03%|0.59% -0.1%|0.5% -0.3%|0.2% · September 7, 2026

Conditions / invalidation

If Lagarde signals additional cuts or a pause, market expectations may shift.
If actual inflation exceeds forecast, Riksbank may delay future rate cuts.

Context: the conclusion is Tlines' automated extraction, not the institution's wording. Quoted evidence is publisher wording. Scope and date must travel with the conclusion.