II Institutional Intelligence
Forecast Accuracy

TD Economics / TD Securities

Settled 1Awaiting prices 3Direction 0.0%Mean target error
Institution
Settled forecasts
AssetForecastActualDirectionErrorTarget date
Crude Oil (WTI)84.57Miss08/28/2026

3 rate and macro calls are excluded from this score. "Bullish on 10Y Treasuries" means yields fall, and a policy or inflation stance has no price to settle against, so scoring them against the available series would invert the verdict rather than measure it.

Method: first same-source observation on/after target date, with a matching observation on/before forecast date; maximum gap is configurable and defaults to 7 days.