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Forecast Accuracy

PIMCO — forecast accuracy

Settled 0Awaiting prices 1Direction —Valid direction sample 0Excluded 48Mean target error —
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Every forecast below was published publicly by PIMCO with a stated target and date. Tlines records the first same-source observation on or after the target date, marks the call settled, and does not adjust the record afterwards. Calls that could not be settled are counted as excluded above rather than dropped silently. Settlement method · Dispute a record

Settled forecasts

No forecasts have enough licensed price observations to settle yet.

19 rate and macro calls are excluded from this score. "Bullish on 10Y Treasuries" means yields fall, and a policy or inflation stance has no price to settle against, so scoring them against the available series would invert the verdict rather than measure it.

Method: first same-source observation on/after target date, with a matching observation on/before forecast date; maximum gap is configurable and defaults to 7 days.