Pictet — forecast accuracy

Every forecast below was published publicly by Pictet with a stated target and date. Tlines records the first same-source observation on or after the target date, marks the call settled, and does not adjust the record afterwards. Calls that could not be settled are counted as excluded above rather than dropped silently. Settlement method · Dispute a record

Wilson 95% interval: 20.7%–100.0%. 0 repeated same-target report(s) are excluded from independent metrics.

Method: first same-source observation on/after target date, with a matching observation on/before forecast date; maximum gap is configurable and defaults to 7 days.