Forecast Accuracy
OCBC Research
Settled 3Awaiting prices 71Direction 33.3%Mean target error —
← InstitutionSettled forecasts
| Asset | Forecast | Actual | Direction | Error | Target date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gold | — | 4,326.4733 | Miss | — | 09/02/2026 |
| Gold | — | 4,448.8013 | Miss | — | 08/31/2026 |
| Crude Oil (WTI) | — | 87.03 | Correct | — | 08/31/2026 |
17 rate and macro calls are excluded from this score. "Bullish on 10Y Treasuries" means yields fall, and a policy or inflation stance has no price to settle against, so scoring them against the available series would invert the verdict rather than measure it.
Method: first same-source observation on/after target date, with a matching observation on/before forecast date; maximum gap is configurable and defaults to 7 days.