新西兰每周经济洞察 2026年10月9日

关键论点

• 西太平洋银行对2026年预测的回顾显示短期通胀水平更高。
• 同一回顾还指出新西兰面临增长风险。
• 上述因素共同支持新西兰联储对OCR采取谨慎行动。
• 谨慎立场适用于圣诞节前这一时间段。

对应原文证据

1. This week we discuss a review of our 2026 forecasts which show a higher short term inflation picture but also growth risks which we think favour the RBNZ moving cautiously on the OCR leading up to Xmas. · 2026
2. (set out in Article 49(2)of the Order; (c) other persons to whom it may lawfully be communicated in accordance with the Order or (d) any persons to whom it may otherwise lawfully be made (all such persons together being referred to as “relevant persons”).
3. The material may contain an ‘investment recommendation’ and/or ‘information recommending or suggesting an investment’, both as defined in Regulation (EU) No 596/2014 (including as applicable in the United Kingdom) (“MAR”). · 2014