全球经济·每日要点

关键论点

• 魁人党民调领先约30%选票，但多数选民既反对魁人党也反对分离；支持更像是被拴短绳的默认选项。
• 魁北克10年期利差已是主要省份中最宽，若真正进入公投竞选，利差可能大幅走阔。
• 巴西首轮结果或引发巴西资产膝跳式上涨，但博索纳罗缺乏真正政纲，涨势可能只是一厢情愿。
• 西班牙因腐败问题及住房计划被否决而宣布11月29日提前大选；西班牙相对于其他欧元区国债的利差迄今未受影响。

对应原文证据

1. • …which could be knee -jerk response awaiting an actual Bolsonaro platform • Spain’s bumbling administration called a snap election • US ISM-services, Canadian PMIs on tap • Global Week Ahead highlights Global markets are starting the week on cautious footings in the aftermath of Friday’s weak nonfarm payrolls reading (29k) and political developments.
2. QUEBEC’S ELECTION Quebec’s polls close at 8pmET tonight and results should start arriving shortly afterward.
3. Polls suggest that the PQ may capture around 30% of the vote.