COT：外汇与商品持仓分析

关键论点

• 投机者将日元持仓从大规模空头翻转为10,800份合约的小幅净多头，空头回补可能是主要驱动。
• 兑八种IMM货币期货的美元总多头下降29%至195亿美元，为14周最低。
• 铜净多头在关税相关回调前触及五年高位，大豆持仓则创历史新高。
• 谷物与软商品多头仍接近纪录，较为拥挤，而玉米和CBOT小麦未能吸引买家。

对应原文证据

1. The latest COT forex update covers the week to 8 September, a period when traders grew increasingly confident that the Bank of Japan will deliver a quarter-point rate hike on 18 September, potentially accompanied by sufficiently hawkish guidance to keep expectations for another move in December alive.
2. Two days earlier, on Wednesday, the FOMC is also increasingly expected to raise rates following Friday’s CPI report, setting the stage for a potentially volatile week across currencies and rates.
3. Speculators cut their aggregate dollar long against eight IMM currency futures by 29% to USD 19.5 billion, the lowest in 14 weeks and well below the USD 50 billion peak reached earlier this year. · this year