美元在本周初继续小幅走弱 · 外汇每日快照

关键论点

• 尽管美国通胀走强，美元未能扩大涨幅，表明这更多是仓位耗竭而非通胀前景转变。
• 跌破约102.10的200周移动均线，削弱了连续四周上涨所建立的技术面依据。
• 市场不愿定价鹰派美联储路径，在沃什讲话后对连续加息的定价仅约3个基点。
• 杠杆基金一直在重建美元多头仓位，使其对进一步令人失望的价格走势更为敏感。

对应原文证据

1. 1 19th October 2026 USD continues to trade at modestly weaker levels at start of the week 19 th October 2026 USD: What’s been driving the correction lower for the US dollar? · October 2026
2. The major foreign exchange rates have remained stable overnight with the US dollar continuing to trade at modestly weaker levels following last week’s correction lower.
3. The dollar index closed lower last week brining an end to four consecutive week of gains that had lifted it to a fresh year-to-date high of 102.95.