中东日报

关键论点

• 地缘溢价仍在，但霍尔木兹产量与出口流量仍接近冲突前水平，供应中断目前是风险而非既成事实。
• 能源价格上涨通过通胀担忧与亏损引发的平仓在短期内压制黄金，即便市场预计美联储按兵不动。
• 土耳其央行以100个基点降息重启宽松，但暗示逐次会议审慎决策、可能暂停，而非连续降息路径。
• IMF预计中东北非2026年GDP收缩2.0%、2027年反弹7.0%，海合会先降4.8%再升9.1%。

对应原文证据

1. Gold is trading at USD 4,013/oz and tracking energy for its threat to the inflation outlook along with a broader sell-off in risk assets.
2. A rising inflation backdrop along with selling pressure to cover losses in equity or bond market positions is a negative combination for gold in the short-term even as the Fed is looking assured to keep rates unchanged at next week’s FOMC meeting. · next week
3. MASDAR announced a new 5y blue bond which will price at T+115bp in 600mm.