BSP、BI与BOK政策决议：科技股主导的风险偏好回落亚洲外汇周报

关键论点

• MUFG预计菲律宾央行加息25个基点至5.25%，理由是油价上涨和超强厄尔尼诺风险。
• 韩国央行连续加息后料维持3.00%；印尼央行共识为维持5.75%。
• MSCI称印尼新兴市场分类不再适当，雅加达综指跌逾10%，印尼盾承压。
• 科技与半导体主导的避险情绪持续压制韩元和台币。

对应原文证据

1. 1 Asia FX Weekly BSP, BI and BOK policy decisions amidst tech-led risk-off The focus in Asia will be on central bank policy decisions by Indonesia, Philippines and South Korea, China’s macro data, coupled with whether the tech and semiconductor-led risk-off sentiment continues into next week. · next week
2. In particular, we see BSP raising rates by 25bps next week, bringing the policy rate to 5.25% from 5.00%, given higher oil prices and the risk of a Super El Niño, while we expect the Bank of Korea to keep rates on hold at 3.00% after back-to- back hikes. · next week
3. While the consensus expects Bank Indonesia to keep rates on hold at 5.75%, MSCI’s announcement on Friday (16 October) that Indonesia’s continued emerging-market classification was no longer appropriate sent the JCI down more than 10% and put pressure on IDR.