比利时公共财政：错失良机

关键论点

• 未能就全额100亿欧元方案达成一致，是错失向市场展示比利时不同于法国的机会，但目前尚不构成政治危机。
• 第二阶段——为2028至2029年再寻60亿欧元节支——面临风险，因2029年春季选举临近、联盟内部分歧加大。
• 与法国不同，比利时仍拥有能够通过2027年预算、将赤字控制在GDP 5%以下的执政多数。
• ING仍预计未来数周会达成一份力度较小的协议；临时十二分之一预算和自动削减是首相希望避免的备选方案。

对应原文证据

1. A deal on the 2027 budget remains possible, yet delaying the harder choices risks weakening the country’s fiscal credibility as the 2029 elections draw closer Belgian PM Bart De Wever This was supposed to be a decisive week for Belgium’s public finances. · 2027
2. He is even prepared to push through legislation that would trigger automatic spending cuts of €3-4bn from January 2027 if no budget is agreed by year-end. · January 2027
3. In a second phase, negotiations are expected to resume with the aim of finding a further €6bn in savings across the 2028 and 2029 budgets. · 2028