II Institutional Intelligence
RBC Economics · 06/15/2026

The economy is bruised, not broken

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AI analysis
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Key arguments
  • Canada's GDP growth is expected to rebound from a contraction in 2025 to modest growth in 2026 and 2027.
  • U.S. GDP growth is projected to remain stable around 1.8% through 2027.
  • Inflation is expected to moderate in both countries, with Canada's CPI easing to 2.1% by 2027.
Risks
  • Trade tensions could further dampen growth.
  • Inflation may persist longer than expected.
  • Policy rate adjustments could be less supportive if inflation remains elevated.